Publisher : The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
DOI : 10.5370/KIEE.2015.64.9.1276
Title & Authors
The Effect of Changes of the Housing Type on Long-Term Load Forecasting Kim, Sung-Yul;
Among the various statistical factors for South Korea, the population has been steadily decreased by lower birthrate. Nevertheless, the number of household is constantly increasing amid population aging and single life style. In general, residential electricity use is more the result of the number of household than the population. Therefore, residential electricity consumption is expected to be far higher for decades to come. The existing long-term load forecasting, however, do not necessarily reflect the growth of single and two-member households. In this respect, this paper proposes the long-term load forecasting for residential users considering the effect of changes of the housing type, and in the case study the changes of the residential load pattern is analyzed for accurate long-term load forecasting.
Long-term load forecasting;Housing type;Residential power demand;