Publisher : Korean Data and Information Science Society
DOI : 10.7465/jkdi.2016.27.2.327
Title & Authors
A deep learning analysis of the Chinese Yuan`s volatility in the onshore and offshore markets Lee, Woosik; Chun, Heuiju;
The People`s Republic of China has vigorously been pursuing the internationalization of the Chinese Yuan or Renminbi after the financial crisis of 2008. In this view, an abrupt increase of use of the Chinese Yuan in the onshore and offshore markets are important milestones to be one of important currencies. One of the most frequently used methods to forecast volatility is GARCH model. Since a prediction error of the GARCH model has been reported quite high, a lot of efforts have been made to improve forecasting capability of the GARCH model. In this paper, we have proposed MLP-GARCH and a DL-GARCH by employing Artificial Neural Network to the GARCH. In an application to forecasting Chinese Yuan volatility, we have successfully shown their overall outperformance in forecasting over the GARCH.
Deep learning;DL-GARCH;GARCH;The Chinese Yuan;volatility;
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