Advanced SearchSearch Tips
The Potential Effects of Climate Change on Streamflow in Rivers Basin of Korea Using Rainfall Elasticity
facebook(new window)  Pirnt(new window) E-mail(new window) Excel Download
  • Journal title : Environmental Engineering Research
  • Volume 18, Issue 1,  2013, pp.9-20
  • Publisher : Korean Society of Environmental Engineering
  • DOI : 10.4491/eer.2013.18.1.009
 Title & Authors
The Potential Effects of Climate Change on Streamflow in Rivers Basin of Korea Using Rainfall Elasticity
Kim, Byung Sik; Hong, Seung Jin; Lee, Hyun Dong;
  PDF(new window)
In this paper, the rainfall elasticity of streamflow was estimated to quantify the effects of climate change on 5 river basins. Rainfall elasticity denotes the sensitivity of annual streamflow for the variations of potential annual rainfall. This is a simple, useful method that evaluates how the balance of a water cycle on river basins changes due to long-term climate change and offers information to manage water resources and environment systems. The elasticity method was first used by Schaake in 1990 and is commonly used in the United States and Australia. A semi-distributed hydrological model (SLURP, semi-distributed land use-based runoff processes) was used to simulate the variations of area streamflow, and potential evapotranspiration. A nonparametric method was then used to estimate the rainfall elasticity on five river basins of Korea. In addition, the A2 (SRES IPCC AR4, Special Report on Emission Scenarios IPCC Fourth Assessment Report) climate change scenario and stochastic downscaling technique were used to create a high-resolution weather change scenario in river basins, and the effects of climate change on the rainfall elasticity of each basin were then analyzed.
Climate change;Nonparametric estimation;Rainfall elasticity;
 Cited by
Comparison of Two Approaches for Estimating Precipitation Elasticity of Streamflow in China’s Main River Basins, Advances in Meteorology, 2015, 2015, 1  crossref(new windwow)
Schaake JC. From climate to flow. In: Waggoner PE, ed. Climate change and U.S. water resources. New York: John Wiley & Sons Inc.; 1990. p. 177-206.

Chiew FH, McMahon TA. Modelling the impacts of climate change on Australian streamflow. Hydrol. Process. 2002;16:1235-1245. crossref(new window)

McCarthy JJ, Canziani OF, Leary NA, Dokken DJ, White KS; the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Climate change 2001: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press; 2001.

Xu CY. Climate change and hydrologic models: a review of existing gaps and recent research developments. Water Resour. Manag. 1999;13:369-382. crossref(new window)

Nash LL, Gleick PH. Sensitivity of streamflow in the Colorado basin to climatic changes. J. Hydrol. 1991;125:221-241. crossref(new window)

Revelle RR, Waggoner PE. Effects of a carbon dioxide-induced climatic change on water supplies in the western United States. In: Changing climate: report of the Carbon Dioxide Assessment Committee. Washington: National Academy Press; 1983.

Vogel RM, Wilson I, Daly C. Regional regression models of annual streamflow for the United States. J. Irrig. Drain. Eng. 1999;125:148-157. crossref(new window)

Sankarasubramanian A, Vogel RM, Limbrunner JF. Climate elasticity of streamflow in the United States. Water Resour. Res. 2001;37:1771-1781. crossref(new window)

Fu G, Charles SP, Chiew FH. A two-parameter climate elasticity of streamflow index to assess climate change effects on annual streamflow. Water Resour. Res. 2007;43:W11419.

Niemann JD, Eltahir EA. Sensitivity of regional hydrology to climate changes, with application to the Illinois River basin. Water Resour. Res. 2005;41:W07014.

Sankarasubramanian A, Vogel RM. Hydroclimatology of the continental United States. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2003;30:1363. crossref(new window)

Block PJ, Souza Filho FA, Sun L, Kwon HH. A streamflow forecasting framework using multiple climate and hydrological models. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 2009;45:828-843. crossref(new window)

Hamlet A, Snover A, Mote P, Salathe E, Lettenmaier D. Climate change streamflow senarios for water planning sutides [Internet]. Seattle: Climate Impacts Group; c2012 [cited 2013 Feb 28]. Available from: hwr/ccscenarioplanning.shtml.

Wood AW, Maurer EP, Kumar A, Lettenmaier DP. Long-range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the eastern United States. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 2002;107:4429. crossref(new window)

Kite G. Application of a land class hydrological model to climate change. Water Resour. Res. 1993;29:2377-2384. crossref(new window)

Kim BS, Kim BK, Kwon HH. Assessment of the impact of climate change on the flow regime of the Han River basin using indicators of hydrologic alteration. Hydrol. Process. 2011;25:691-704. crossref(new window)

Kwon HH, Kim BS. Development of statistical downscaling model using nonstationary Markov chain. J. Korea Water Resour. Assoc. 2009;42:213-225. crossref(new window)

Kim BS, Kim HS, Seoh BH, Kim NW. Impact of climate change on water resources in Yongdam Dam basin, Korea. Stoch. Environ. Res. Risk Assess. 2007;21:355-373. crossref(new window)

Kite G. Manual for the SLURP hydrological model, ver. 12.7. Colombo: International Water Management Institute; 2007.

Rosenblatt M. Remarks on some nonparametric estimates of a density function. Ann. Math. Stat. 1956;27:832-835. crossref(new window)