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Statistical Correction of Numerical Model Forecasts for Typhoon Tracks
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 Title & Authors
Statistical Correction of Numerical Model Forecasts for Typhoon Tracks
Sohn, Keon-Tae;
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 Abstract
This paper concentrates on the prediction of typhoon tracks using the dynamic linear model (DLM) for the statistical correction of the numerical model guidance used in the JMA. The DLM with proposed forecast strategy is applied to reduce their systematic errors using the latest observation. All parameters of the DLM are updated dynamically and backward forecasting is performed to remove the effect of initial values.
 Keywords
typhoon track forecast;DLM;systematic error;
 Language
English
 Cited by
 References
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