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Potential Effects of Urban Growth under Urban Containment Policy on Streamflow in the Gyungan River Watershed, Korea
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 Title & Authors
Potential Effects of Urban Growth under Urban Containment Policy on Streamflow in the Gyungan River Watershed, Korea
Kim, Jinsoo; Park, Soyoung;
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This study examined the potential effects of urban growth on streamflow in the Gyungan River watershed, Korea, using urban containment scenarios. First, two scenarios (conservation and development) were established, and SLEUTH model was adapted to predict urban growth into the year 2060 with 20 years interval under two scenarios in the study area. Urban growth was larger under scenario 2, focusing on development, than under scenario 1, focusing on conservation. Most urban growth was predicted to involve the conversion of farmland, forest, and grasslands to urban areas. Streamflow in future periods under these scenarios was simulated by the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. Each scenario showed distinct seasonal variations in streamflow. Although urban growth had a small effect on streamflow, urban growth may heighten the problems of increased seasonal variability in streamflow caused by other factor, such as climate change. This results obtained in this study provide further insight into the availability of future water resource and can aid in urban containment planning to mitigate the negative effects of urban growth in the study area.
Urban Growth;Urban Containment Scenario;SLEUTH;Streamflow;SWAT;Climate Change;
 Cited by
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