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An Influence Analysis of Port Hinterlands on Container Cargo Volumes of Incheon Port Using System Dynamics
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 Title & Authors
An Influence Analysis of Port Hinterlands on Container Cargo Volumes of Incheon Port Using System Dynamics
Kim, Young-Kuk; Jeon, Jun-Woo; Yeo, Gi-Tae;
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 Abstract
This study is aimed to obtain the influence of port hinterlands on container cargo volumes of Incheon port using System Dynamics(SD). Also, macro economic index such as exchange rates(US dollar), balance of current account, capital balance, Japan trade, China trade, export unit value index, import unit value index, total turnover of Incheon port were used as the factors that influence container cargo volumes of Incheon port. Moreover micro index regarding port hinterlands` operating companies such as total sales, rental fee, number of employees were introduced in the simulation model. In order to measure accuracy of the simulation, this study implemented MAPE analysis. And after the implementation, the simulation was decided as a much more accurate model because MAPE value was calculated to be within 10%. This study respectively examined factors using the sensitivity analysis. As a result, in terms of the effects on cargo volume in Incheon Port, the factor named `cargo volumes of port hinterlands` operating companies` is most significant. And increasing the rental fee of hinterland was resulted in decreasing the cargo volumes of Incheon port.
 Keywords
incheon port;port hinterland;cargo volumes;system dynamics;sensitivity analysis;causal relationship;
 Language
Korean
 Cited by
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국내 중소형 컨테이너항만 물동량에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구,박창기;남기찬;강달원;

한국항해항만학회지, 2015. vol.39. 4, pp.371-376 crossref(new window)
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시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 해운정책이 우리나라 외항선대 증가에 미친 영향에 관한 연구,김성범;전준우;여기태;

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