JOURNAL BROWSE
Search
Advanced SearchSearch Tips
Reliability Assessment for Corroded Pipelines by Separable Monte Carlo Method
facebook(new window)  Pirnt(new window) E-mail(new window) Excel Download
 Title & Authors
Reliability Assessment for Corroded Pipelines by Separable Monte Carlo Method
Lee, Jin-Han; Jo, Young-Do; Kim, Lae Hyun;
  PDF(new window)
 Abstract
A deterministic stress-based methodology has traditionally been applied in pipeline design. Meanwhile, reliability based design and assessment (RBDA) methodology has been extensively applied in offshore or nuclear structures. Lately, the release of ISO standard on reliability based limit state methods for pipelines ISO16708 indicates that the RBDA methodology is one of the newest directions of natural gas pipeline design method. This paper presents a case study of the RBDA procedure for predicting the time-dependent failure probability of pipelines with corrosion defects, where separable Monte Carlo (SMC) method is applied in the reliability estimation for corroded pipeline instead of traditional, crude Monte Carlo(CMC) Method. The result shows the SMC method take advantage of improving accuracy in reliability calculation.
 Keywords
pipeline;reliability based design;failure probability;separable monte carlo;
 Language
Korean
 Cited by
 References
1.
Ahammed, M. & Melchers, R.E., "Reliability estimation of pressurized pipelines subject to localized corrosion defects", Int. J. Pressure Vessels and Piping, 69, 267-272, (1996) crossref(new window)

2.
Ahammed, M., "Probabilistic estimation of remaining life of a pipeline in the presence of active corrosion defects", Int. J. Pressure Vessels and Piping, 75, 321-329, (1998) crossref(new window)

3.
Caleyo, F.; Gonzales, J.L. & Hallen, J.M., "A study on the reliability assessment methodology for pipelines with active corrosion defects", Int. J. Pressure Vessels and Piping, 79: 77-86. (2002). crossref(new window)

4.
Lee, S-M; Chang, Y-S; Choi, J-B & Kim, Y-J., "Probabilistic Integrity Assessment of Corroded Gas Pipelines", J. Pressure Vessel Technology, 128, 547-555, (2006) crossref(new window)

5.
Santosh, G.V; Shrivastava, O.P.; Saraf, R.K.; Ghosh, A.K. & Kushwaha, H.S., "Reliability analysis of pipelines carrying H2S for risk based inspection of heavy water plants", Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 91, 163-170, (2006) crossref(new window)

6.
Li, S.-X; Yu, S-R; Zeng, H-L; Li, J-H & Liang, R., "Predicting corrosion remaining life of underground pipelines with a mechanically-based probabilistic model", J. of Petroleum Science and Engineering, 65, 162-166, (2009a) crossref(new window)

7.
Li, S.-X; Zeng, H-L; Yu, S-R; Zhai, X.; Chen, S-P; Liang, R.& Yu, L., "A method for probabilistic analysis for steel pipeline with correlated corrosion defects", Corrosion Science, 51, 3050-3056, (2009b) crossref(new window)

8.
Pandey, M.D., "Probabilistic models for condition assessment of oil and gas pipelines", NDT &E International, 31(5), 349-358, (1998) crossref(new window)

9.
Zhou, W., "Reliability Evaluation of Corroding Pipelines Considering Multiple Failure Modes and Time-Dependent Internal Pressure", J. Infrastructure Systems, 17(4), 216-224, (2011) crossref(new window)

10.
DNV, "Corroded pipelines", Recommended Practice DNV-RP-F101 (1999)

11.
ISO 16708, "Petroleum and natural gas industries - Pipeline transportation systems - Reliability- based limit state methods", International Organization for Standardization, (2006)

12.
CSA Z662-07 "Oil and gas pipeline systems", Canadian Standards Association, (2007)

13.
Jin-Han Lee, et al, "Development of Risk Assessment Techniques for City-gas Pipeline II - Corrosion Analysis", J. of the Korean Institute of Gas, (2003)

14.
ANSI/ASME B31G, "Manual for Determining the Remaining Strength of Corroded Pipelines", American Society of Mechanical Engineers, (2012)

15.
Jin Han Lee, Young Seob Kim, Lae Hyun Kim, "A Simplified Method for Predicting Failure Probability of Pipelines with Corrosion Defects", J. of the Korean Institute of Gas, (2010)

16.
Zhou, J., Rothwell, B., Nessim, M., Zhou, W., "Reliability-Based Design and Assessment Standards for Onshore Natural Gas Transmission Pipelines", J. Pressure Vessel Technology, 131, 031702, (2009) crossref(new window)

17.
Teixeira, A.P., Guedes Soares, C., Netto, T.A., Estefen, S.F., "Reliability of pipelines with corrosion defects", International Journal of Pressure Vessels and Piping, 85, 228-237 (2008) crossref(new window)

18.
Ravishankar, B., et al., "Separable Sampling of the Limit State for Accurate Monte Carlo Simulation", 50th AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference, AIAA: Palm Springs, California, (2009)

19.
Nessim, M., Zhou, W. Zhou, J., Rothwell, B., "Target Reliability Levels for Design and Assessment of Onshore Natural Gas Pipelines", J. Pressure Vessel Technology, 131, 061701-1, (2009) crossref(new window)

20.
Smarslok, B., Haftka R., Kim, N., 47th AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference, Newport, Rhode Island, (2006)