Advanced SearchSearch Tips
Forecasting for the Demand on Water Amenity Zones in the Large Rivers Based on Regional Characteristics and Monthly Variation
facebook(new window)  Pirnt(new window) E-mail(new window) Excel Download
  • Journal title : Journal of Wetlands Research
  • Volume 17, Issue 4,  2015, pp.436-446
  • Publisher : Korean Wetlands Society
  • DOI : 10.17663/JWR.2015.17.4.436
 Title & Authors
Forecasting for the Demand on Water Amenity Zones in the Large Rivers Based on Regional Characteristics and Monthly Variation
Suh, Myong-kyo; Rhee, Dong Sop;
  PDF(new window)
It is suggested investigating method about the existing state of demand in this study. The total demand of 357 water amenity zones in 2014 is estimated based on the growth curve models. The effects of population density and distances between water amenity zones and metropolises populated over 1 million are investigated on each river system. The suitability like RMSE and MAPE of logistic and gompertz models are considered to select more suitable model for each water amenity zone. Demand for water amenity zones in 2014 is seemed to be rather high at Han Gang river system and Chungcheongbukdo after analyzing. The influence of population density is rarely effective except Geum Gang river system. The influence of metropolis on the demand for water amenity zones is higher at Geum Gang river system than others.
Water amenity zone;Demand;Growth curve model;
 Cited by
Ann, BY, Kim, TM, Hong, SJ, Kim, GH, Kim, SJ, Kim, JG and Kim, HS (2014). Study on river management plan considering ecological preservation and flood control of riverine wetland, J. of Wetlands Research, 16(4), pp. 463-476. [Korean Literature] crossref(new window)

Choi, JH and Yang, WS (1998). Demand forecasting system based on growth curve models, The Applied Statistics, 13, pp. 69-84. [Korean Literature]

Cohen, J (1988). Statistical Power Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences (2nd. ed.), Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Hillsdale, New Jersey.

Frechtling, DC (2001). Forecasting Tourism Demand: Methods and Strategies, Oxford: British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data.

Harrison, PJ and Pearce, SF (1972). The use of trend curves as an aid to market forecasting, Industrial Marketing Management, 1(2), pp. 149-170. crossref(new window)

Kang, H and Choi, JH (2001). A study on the demand forecasting using diffusion models and growth curve models, The Applied Statistics, 14(2), pp. 233-243. [Korean Literature]

Kim, DG, Lee, LY, Lee CW, Kang, NR, Lee, JS and Kim, HS (2011). Analysis of flood reduction effect of washland using hydraulic experiment, J. of Wetlands Research, 13(2), pp. 307-317. [Korean Literature]

Kim, DG, Yoo, BK, Kim, JG, Shin, HK, Kim, HS, Park, DH, Ahn, JH and Ahn, KS (2009). Study on assessment of value and functions of dam -wetlands (2) - assessment of value by CE : focussing on Boryung dam -, J. of Wetlands Research, 11(3), pp. 133-143. [Korean Literature]

Kim, T, Jeong, J, Moon, S, Yang, H and Yang, B (2013). Introduction to national mid-term fundamental plan for wetlands conservation and management, J. of Wetlands Research, 15(4), pp. 519-527. [Korean Literature] crossref(new window)

Korea Culture, Tourism and Policy Institute (KCTPI) (2006). A Study on the Guideline Establishment of Tourism Demand Estimation, Korea Culture, Tourism and Policy Institute. [Korean Literature]

Korean Statistical Information Service (KOSIS) (2015).

Lee, CK (2002). A comparison study about the validity of demand forecasting techniques using growth curve models, Master's Thesis, Sogang University, Seoul, Korea. [Korean Literature]

Lee, SD and Kim, SC (2008). Studies on the ecological management and stream environment in Dorim stream for establishing eco-wetland parks, J. of Wetlands Research, 10(3), pp. 133-139. [Korean Literature]

Martino, JP (1975). Technological Forecasting for Decision Making, Elsevier, New York.

Tanner, JC (1978). Long term forecasting of vehicle ownership and road traffic, J. of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 141, pp. 14-63. crossref(new window)

Woo, HS and Kim, ST (2000). A review and understanding of stream corridor restoration, J. of Korean Environmental Restoration Technology, 3(3), pp. 126-144. [Korean Literature]

Yoo, BK, Kim, HS and Ju, D (2013). A study on preference heterogeneity of economic valuation for the washland of Upo wetland - development of waterfront resources -, J. of Wetlands Research, 15(3), pp. 357-366. [Korean Literature] crossref(new window)