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Prediction of the Spawning Ground of Todarodes pacificus under IPCC Climate A1B Scenario
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  • Journal title : Ocean and Polar Research
  • Volume 34, Issue 2,  2012, pp.253-264
  • Publisher : Korea Institute of Ocean Science & Technology
  • DOI : 10.4217/OPR.2012.34.2.253
 Title & Authors
Prediction of the Spawning Ground of Todarodes pacificus under IPCC Climate A1B Scenario
Kim, Jung-Jin; Min, Hong-Sik; Kim, Cheol-Ho; Yoon, Jin-Hee; Kim, Su-Am;
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 Abstract
In the northwestern Pacific, spawning of the common squid, Todarodes pacificus, occurs at continental shelf and slope areas of 100-500 m, and the optimum temperature for the spawning and survival of paralarvae is assumed to be . To predict the spawning ground of Todarodes pacificus under future climate conditions, we simulated the present and future ocean circulations, using an East Asia regional ocean model (Modular Ocean Model, MOM version3), projected by two different global climate models (MPI_echam5, MIROC_hires), under an IPCC SRES A1B emission scenario. Mean climate states for 1990-1999 and 2030-2039 from 20th and 21th Century Climate Change model simulation (from the IPCC 4th Assessment Report) were used as surface conditions for simulations, and we examined changes in spawning ground between the 1990s and 2030s. The results revealed that the distribution of spawning ground in the 2030s in both climate models shifted northward in the East China Sea and East Sea, for both autumn and winter populations, compared to that of the 1990s. Also, the spawning area (with grid) in the 2030s of the autumn and winter populations will decline by 11.6% (MPI_echam5) to 30.8% (MIROC_hires) and 3.0% (MPI_echam5) to 18.2% (MIROC_hires), respectively, from those of the 1990s.
 Keywords
IPCC;A1B scenario;Todarodes pacificus;common squid;spawning ground;
 Language
Korean
 Cited by
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동중국해 표층수온의 장기 변동성: 종설,이재학;김철호;

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Numerical Experiment of Environmental Change in the East China Sea under Climate Change, Ocean and Polar Research, 2012, 34, 4, 431  crossref(new windwow)
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Long-term Variability of Sea Surface Temperature in the East China Sea: A Review, Ocean and Polar Research, 2013, 35, 2, 171  crossref(new windwow)
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Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Marine Ecosystem in the South Sea of Korea II, Ocean and Polar Research, 2013, 35, 2, 123  crossref(new windwow)
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