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Vulnerability Assessment of Soil Loss in Farm area to Climate Change Adaption
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 Title & Authors
Vulnerability Assessment of Soil Loss in Farm area to Climate Change Adaption
Oh, Young-Ju; Kim, Myung-Hyun; Na, Young-Eun; Hong, Sun-Hee; Paik, Woen-Ki; Yoon, Seong-Tak;
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Due to the climate change in South Korea the annual total precipitation will increase by 17 percent by 2100. Rainfall is concentrated during the summer in South Korea and the landslide of farmland by heavy rain is expected to increase. Because regional torrential rains accompanied by a storm continue to cause the damage in farmland urgent establishment of adaptation plant for minimizing the damage is in need. In this study we assessed vulnerability of landslide of farmland by heavy rain for local governments. Temporal resolution is 2000 year and the future 2020 year, 2050 year, 2100 year via A1B scenario. Vulnerability of local government were evaluated by three indices such as climate exposure, sensitivity, adaptive capacity and each index is calculated by selected alternative variable. Collected data was normalized and then multiplied by weight value that was elicited in delphi investigation. Current vulnerability is concentrated in Jeju island and Gyeongsangnam-do, however, it is postulated that Kangwon-do will be vulnerable in the future. Through this study, local governments can use the data to establish adaptation plans for farmland landslide by climate change.
Climate change;Vulnerability assessment;Landslide;A1B scenario;
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