A Study on the Future Air Traffic Demand in Busan Metropolitan Area

부산권 항공수요예측 연구

  • 김병종 (한국항공대학교 대학원 항공우주 및 기계공학과) ;
  • 이민희 (한국항공대학교 항공우주 및 기계공학부)
  • Published : 2008.03.31

Abstract

Since the 90's, Korean Air transport market has been more expanded because of economic growth, the construction of airport infrastructure, and the advent of low cost carrier. Especially, the air traffic demand in Busan metropolitan area has been increasing steadily. Therefore, in this paper, we developed a new forecasting model which could expect the future air traffic demand in Busan area. This model is developed by regression analysis using social-economic variables such as GRDP, income, and the number of people, and dummy variables, for instance, KTX opening, Japan economic depression, SARS and so on. Result from demand forecasting by this new model suggests that the new airport system is needed in order to sustain the increasing air traffic demand in Busan area.