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Statistical Properties of Business Survey Index

기업경기실사지수의 통계적 성질 고찰

Kim, Kyu-Seong
김규성

  • Received : 20100100
  • Accepted : 20100200
  • Published : 2010.04.30

Abstract

Business survey index(BSI) is an economic forecasting index made on the basis of the past achievement of the company and enterpriser's plan and decision for the future. Even the index is very popular in economic situations, only a little research result is known to the public. In the paper we investigate statistical properties of BSI. We define population BSI in the finite population and estimate it unbiasedly. Also we derive the variance of the estimated BSI and its unbiased estimator. In addition, confidence interval of the estimated BSI is proposed. We asserte that confidence interval of the estimated BSI is more reasonable than the relative standard error.

Keywords

Business survey index;multivariate hypergeometric distribution;self-weighting sample

References

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Cited by

  1. A Study on Developing the Business Index of Electrical Construction Business vol.15, pp.4, 2014, https://doi.org/10.6106/KJCEM.2014.15.4.107

Acknowledgement

Supported by : 서울시립대학교