Analysis of marine accident probability in Mokpo waterways



Kim, Kwang-Il;Park, Gye-Kark;Jeong, Jung-Sik

  • 투고 : 2011.09.27
  • 심사 : 2011.11.08
  • 발행 : 2011.12.31


The maritime risk assessment is important not only to evaluate the safety level of the ports and waterways but also to reduce potential maritime accidents at sea in terms of the proactive measures of the maritime accidents. In this paper, the collision risk assessment in Mokpo waterways has been carried out based on the IALA recommended model, IWRAP. To evaluate the accident probabilities in Mokpo waterways, all data of vessels were collected from AIS and Radar observations data and the computer simulations were carried out. To assess the risk on the traffic, the scenario-base approach has been applied to the Mokpo waterway by using the maritime accident statics over the past 5 years.


accident probability;geometrical probability;causation probability;collision risk;AIS


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피인용 문헌

  1. 1. A Quantitative Collision Probability Analysis in Port Waterway vol.22, pp.3, 2012, doi:10.5394/KINPR.2011.35.9.729
  2. 2. A Study on Development of Maritime Traffic Assessment Model vol.22, pp.6, 2012, doi:10.5394/KINPR.2011.35.9.729
  3. 3. Probabilistic risk assessment on maritime spent nuclear fuel transportation (Part II: Ship collision probability) vol.164, 2017, doi:10.5394/KINPR.2011.35.9.729