경기도내 유통 농산물 중 잔류농약의 확률론적 노출평가 연구

Probabilistic Exposure Assessment of Pesticide Residues in Agricultural Products in Gyeonggi-do

  • 도영숙 (경기도보건환경연구원 보건연구기획팀) ;
  • 김중범 (경기도보건환경연구원 보건연구기획팀) ;
  • 강석호 (경기도보건환경연구원 보건연구기획팀) ;
  • 김난영 (경기도보건환경연구원 보건연구기획팀) ;
  • 엄미나 (경기도보건환경연구원 보건연구기획팀) ;
  • 윤미혜 (경기도보건환경연구원 보건연구기획팀)
  • Do, Young-Sook (Health Research & Planning Team, Gyeonggi-do Institute of Health & Environment) ;
  • Kim, Jung-Boem (Health Research & Planning Team, Gyeonggi-do Institute of Health & Environment) ;
  • Kang, Suk-Ho (Health Research & Planning Team, Gyeonggi-do Institute of Health & Environment) ;
  • Kim, Nan-Young (Health Research & Planning Team, Gyeonggi-do Institute of Health & Environment) ;
  • Eom, Mi-Na (Health Research & Planning Team, Gyeonggi-do Institute of Health & Environment) ;
  • Yoon, Mi-Hye (Health Research & Planning Team, Gyeonggi-do Institute of Health & Environment)
  • 투고 : 2013.04.18
  • 심사 : 2013.05.21
  • 발행 : 2013.08.30


경기도내 유통 농산물 중 잔류농약 모니터링(2006~2010)결과 chlorothalonil, chlorpyrifos, dicofol, endosulfan, EPN, ethoprophos, fenitrothion, methidathion, phenthoate와 tebupirimfos 등 농약10종에 대하여 확률론적 노출평가를 실시하였다. 몬테 카를로 시뮬레이션을 활용하였고, 농도와 섭취량의 분포는 모수인 평균과 표준편차를 입력하여 lognormal로 가정하였다. 농약별 평균과 95백분위수의 위해도는 결정론적 노출평가결과에 비해 대체로 낮게 나타났다. 위해도(%ADI)는 전국민 대상에 농도 불검출 데이터에 LOD = 0 mg/kg을 적용한 경우 평균과 95백분위수에서 각각 0.05~0.70%와 0.11~1.94%로 나타났다. LOD = 0.005 mg/kg을 적용한 경우는 평균과 95백분위수에서 각각 0.41~4.42%와 0.98~13.81%로 나타났다. 섭취자군 대상에 농도 불검출 데이터에 LOD = 0 mg/kg을 적용한 경우 평균과 95백분위수에서 각각 1.24~10.16%와 3.72~33.81%로 나타났다. LOD = 0.005 mg/kg을 적용한 경우 평균과 95백분위수는 각각 3.43~18.26%과 9.45~54.99%로 나타났다. 섭취자군에서는 LOD = 0과 LOD = 0.005를 적용한 위해도 평균과 95백분위수는 모두 methidathion이 가장 높게 나타났다. 경기도내 유통 농산물의 잔류농약에 대한 확률론적 노출위해도는 100미만으로 모두 안전한 것으로 나타났다.


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