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Economic Impacts of Abnormal Climate on Total Output of Red Pepper

이상기후에 따른 건고추 생산농가의 총수입 변화 계측

Cho, Jae-Hwan;Suh, Jeong-Min;Kang, Jum-Soon;Hong, Chang-Oh;Lim, Woo-Taik;Shin, Hyun-Moo;Kim, Woon-Won
조재환;서정민;강점순;홍창오;임우택;신현무;김운원

  • Received : 2013.11.05
  • Accepted : 2014.02.11
  • Published : 2014.04.30

Abstract

The purpose of this article is analyzing the economic impacts of abnormal climate on total revenue of red pepper in Korea, with employing the equilibrium displacement model. Our simulation results show the rate of yield change, price change, and total revenue change according to the climate change scenarios. In th case of by RCP 8.5 Scenario, red pepper production volume would be expected to decrease by 77.2% compared to 2012 while price increasing by 29.6%. As a result, total revenue to be returned to farmers would be reduced by 47.6% than it was in 2012. In contrast, total revenue would be expected to decline by 29.6% according to RCP 4.5 scenario.

Keywords

Equilibrium displacement model;Economic impacts;Abnormal climate;Red pepper;Total revenue

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Acknowledgement

Supported by : 농촌진흥청