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Projection of Future Water Supply Sustainability in Agricultural Reservoirs under RCP Climate Change Scenarios

기후변화 시나리오를 고려한 농업용 저수지의 미래 용수공급 지속가능성 전망

  • 남원호 ;
  • 홍은미 (서울대학교 농업생명과학연구원) ;
  • 김태곤 (서울대학교 조경.지역시스템공학부) ;
  • 최진용 (서울대학교 조경.지역시스템공학부, 농업생명과학연구원)
  • Received : 2014.01.21
  • Accepted : 2014.07.22
  • Published : 2014.07.31

Abstract

Climate change influences multiple environmental aspects, certain of which are specifically related to agricultural water resources such as water supply, water management, droughts and floods. Understanding the impact of climate change on reservoirs in relation to the passage of time is an important component of water resource management for stable water supply maintenance. Changes on rainfall and hydrologic patterns due to climate change can increases the occurrence of reservoir water shortage and affect the future availability of agricultural water resources. It is a main concern for sustainable development in agricultural water resources management to evaluate adaptation capability of water supply under the future climate conditions. The purpose of this study is to predict the sustainability of agricultural water demand and supply under future climate change by applying an irrigation vulnerability assessment model to investigate evidence of climate change occurrences at a local scale with respect to potential water supply capacity and irrigation water requirement. Thus, it is a recommended practice in the development of water supply management strategies on reservoir operation under climate change.

Acknowledgement

Supported by : 한국연구재단

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