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Breast Cancer in Surat Thani, a Province in Southern Thailand: Analysis of 2004-2012 Incidence and Future Trends

  • Tassanasunthornwong, Sukit ;
  • Chansaard, Wasan ;
  • Sriplung, Hutcha ;
  • Bilheem, Surichai
  • Published : 2015.10.06

Abstract

Background: With the recent epidemiologic transition in Thailand, featuring decreasing incidences of infectious diseases along with increasing rates of chronic conditions, cancer is becoming a serious problem for the country. Breast cancer has the highest incidence rates among females, not only in the southern regions, but throughout Thailand. Surat Thani is a province in the upper part of Southern Thailand. A study was needed to identify the current burden, and the future trends of breast cancer. Materials and Methods: Here we used cancer incidence data from the Surat Thani Cancer Registry to characterize the incidences of breast cancer. Joinpoint analysis was used to investigate the incidences in the province from 2004 to 2012 and to project future trends from 2013 to 2030. Results: Age-standardized incidence rates (world) of breast cancer in the upper parts of Southern Thailand increased from 35.1 to 59.2 cases per 100,000 female population, which is equivalent to an annual percentage change of 4.5-4.8%. Linear drift effects played a role in shaping the increase of incidence. Joinpoint projection suggested that incidence rates would continue to increase in the future with incidence for women aged 50 and above, at a higher rate than for women below the age of 50. Conclusions: The current early detection measures increase detection rates of early disease. Preparation of a budget for treatment facilities and human resources, both in surgical and medical oncology, is essential.

Keywords

Breast cancer;cancer incidence;joinpoint;Surat Thani;Thailand

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  2. Cancer incidence in northern Thailand: Results from six population-based cancer registries 1993-2012 vol.142, pp.9, 2017, https://doi.org/10.1002/ijc.31203
  3. Effect of the national screening program on malignancy status of cervical cancer in Northern Thailand vol.63, pp.3, 2018, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00038-018-1077-7
  4. Systematic review of the use of big data to improve surgery in low- and middle-income countries vol.106, pp.2, 2019, https://doi.org/10.1002/bjs.11052

Acknowledgement

Supported by : Songkla University