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Characteristic Analysis of Industrial Structure in Jeju Special Self-Governing Province Using Dynamic Shift-Share Analysis

동태적 변이할당분석을 이용한 제주특별자치도 산업구조 특성 분석

  • 양영준 (제주대학교 부동산관리학과)
  • Received : 2019.05.10
  • Accepted : 2019.08.20
  • Published : 2019.08.28

Abstract

The regional economy growth of Jeju has seen higher than national growth since 2011 by the establishment of Jeju Special Self-Governing Province and the increase of incoming population, but its economic growth has slowed after 2016. This study conducted the dynamic shift-share analysis using the production and employees of each industry from 2010 to 2016, targeting Jeju with many factors of regional economic change. In the results of empirical analysis, the regional economy of Jeju was not the industrial structure depending on the national growth, but the industrial structure by the competitiveness and industrial structure of Jeju region. The industries having positive(+) effects of industrial mix effect and competitive effect on the production and the number of employees were the electricity/gas/heavy equipments & waterworks, construction, accommodation & restaurants, and service industry. These industries have positive effects on the regional industry of Jeju. The above-mentioned industries are not only more likely to grow than other regions, but also to drive the local economy of Jeju. In order for these industries to continuously contribute to the regional economy of Jeju, it would be necessary to have the policy/institutional support in the long-term perspective.

Keywords

Shift-Share Analysis;Dynamic Shift-Share Analysis;Jeju Special Self-Governing Province;Industrial Structure;Net Relative Change Effect

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