Short-term Load Forecasting using Neural Network

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  • Published : 1993.11.26

Abstract

This paper presents Neural Network(NN) approach to short-term load forecasting. Input to the NN are past loads and the output is the predicted load for a given day. The NN is used to learn the relationship among past, current and future temperature and loads. Three different cases are presented. Case 1 divides into weekday and weekendday load pattern. Case 2 forcasts 24-hour ahead load. Case 3 searchs for the same load pattern as present load pattern in past load pattern. From result of forecasting, an average absolute percentage errors of case 1 shows 2.0%. That of case 2 shows 2.2, and That of case 3 shows 1.6%.

Keywords