Proceedings of the KIEE Conference (대한전기학회:학술대회논문집)
- 2000.07a
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- Pages.337-340
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- 2000
Stochastic Analysis of the Uncertain Hourly Load Demand Applying to Unit Commitment Problem
발전기 기동정지 계획에 적용되는 불확실한 부하곡선에 대한 통계적 분석
- Jung, Choon-Sik (Dept. of Electrical Engineering, Yonsei University) ;
- Park, Jeong-Do (Dept. of Electrical Engineering, Yonsei University) ;
- Kook, Hyun-Jong (Dept. of Electrical Engineering, Yonsei University) ;
- Moon, Young-Hyun (Dept. of Electrical Engineering, Yonsei University)
- Published : 2000.07.17
Abstract
In this paper, the effects of the uncertain hourly load demand are stochastically analyzed especially by the consideration of the average over generation of the Unit Commitment(UC) results. In order to minimize the effects of the actual load profile change, a new UC algorithm is proposed. The proposed algorithm calculates the UC results with the lower load level than the one generated by the conventional load forecast. In case of the worse load forecast, the deviation of the conventional UC solution can be overcome with the lower load level and the more hourly reserve requirements. The proposed method is tested with sample systems, which shows that the proposed method can be used as the basic guideline for selecting the potimal load forecast applying to UC problem.
Keywords