Proceedings of the Korean Environmental Sciences Society Conference (한국환경과학회:학술대회논문집)
- 2003.11a
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- Pages.27-32
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- 2003
Second Kind Predictability of Climate Models
- Chu, Peter C. (Naval Ocean Analysis and Prediction Laboratory, Department of Oceanography Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey) ;
- Lu, Shlhua (Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences)
- Published : 2003.11.01
Abstract
Atmospheric and oceanic numerical models are usually initial-value and/or boundary-value problems. Change in either initial or boundary conditions leads to a variation of model solutions. Much of the predictability research has been done on the response of model behavior to an initial value perturbation. Less effort has been made on the response of model behavior to a boundary value perturbation. In this study, we use the latest version of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Climate Model (CCM3) to study the model uncertainty to tiny SST errors. The results show the urgency to investigate the second kind predictability problem for the climate models.