문경선 운영 재개에 따른 이용수요 예측 연구

A Study on forecasting of the Transportation Demand Mungyeng Line

  • 김익희 (코레일 철도연구원 경영연구팀) ;
  • 이경태 (코레일 철도연구원 경영연구팀)
  • 발행 : 2008.11.13

초록

Mungyeng line(Jupyung${\sim}$Mungyeng) was closed due to a rapid decrease in demand in 1995. However, as the rail transportation demand is expected to increase with the plan to develop a tourist resort and a traffic network in Mungyeng area, it is required to forecast future demand to meet the change of transportation environment in this region. This study predicts the rail transportation demand and analyzes financial benefit in operator's side in case of reopening this line, based on nation-wide traffic volume data from Korean Transportation Database(KTDB). The results of this research can be applied to not only establishing a train operation plan also improving customer service. Moreover, Korail will have an opportunity to develop new business by linking train service to tourist attractions around the Mungyeng area.

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