한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집 (Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference)
- 한국수자원학회 2012년도 학술발표회
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- Pages.467-467
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- 2012
베이지안 네트워크를 적용한 홍수 위험도 분석
Application of Bayesian Networks for Flood Risk Analysis
- 발행 : 2012.05.16
초록
As the features of recent flood are spatially concentrated, loss of life and property increase by the impact of climate change. In addition to this the public interest in water control information is increased and socially reasonable justification of water control policy is needed. It is necessary to estimate the flood risk in order to let people know the status of flood control and establish flood control policy. For accurate flood risk analysis, we should consider inter-relation between causal factors of flood damage. Hence, flood risk analysis should be applied to interdependence of the factors selected. The Bayesian networks are ideally suited to assist decision-making in situations where there is uncertainty in the data and where the variables are highly interlinked. In this research, to provide more proper water control information the flood risk analysis is performed using the Bayesian networks to handle uncertainty and dependency among 13 specific proxy variables.