Comparison between nonlinear statistical time series forecasting and neural network forecasting

  • Inkyu (Assistant Professor, Dept. of Computer Information, Woosong Information College) ;
  • Cheolyoung (Consultant, KMA Consultants) ;
  • Sungduck (Professor, Dept. of statistics, Chungbuk National University)
  • Published : 2000.04.01

Abstract

Nonlinear time series prediction is derived and compared between statistic of modeling and neural network method. In particular mean squared errors of predication are obtained in generalized random coefficient model and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic model and compared with them by neural network forecasting.

Keywords

References

  1. 경제분석 v.4 no.2 환률, 금리, 주가변동의 상호관련성 분석 김명기;문소양
  2. Journal of Econometrics v.31 Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticitys Bollerslev, T.
  3. Econometrica v.50 Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of U.K. inflation Engle, R.F.
  4. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference v.68 Parameter estimation for generalized random coefficient autoregressive processes Hwang, S.Y.;Basawa, I.V.
  5. Notes in Statistics v.11 Random Coefficient Autoregressive Models: An Introduction Nicholls, D.F.;Quinn, B.G.
  6. IJCNN v.2 Neural Networks as Forecasting Experts: An Empirical Test Sharda, R.;Patil, R.B.
  7. Neural Networks for Statistical Modeling Smith, M.
  8. Simulation v.57 no.5 Time Series Forecasting Using Neural Networks vs. Box-Jenkins Methodology Tang, Z.;Almeida, C.;Fishwick, P.A.
  9. Non-linear Time Series Tong, H.