Spatial-Temporal Modelling of Road Traffic Data in Seoul City

  • Lee, Sang-Yeol (Department of Statistics, Seoul National University) ;
  • Ahn, Soo-Han (Department of Statistics, Seoul National University) ;
  • Park, Chang-Yi (Department of Statistics, Seoul National University) ;
  • Jeon, Jong-Woo (Department of Statistics, Seoul National University)
  • 발행 : 2002.10.31

초록

Recently, the demand of the Intelligent Transportation System(ITS) has been increased to a large extent, and a real-time traffic information service based on the internet system became very important. When ITS companies carry out real-time traffic services, they find some traffic data missing, and use the conventional method of reconstructing missing values by calculating average time trend. However, the method is found unsatisfactory, so that we develop a new method based the spatial and spatial-temporal models. A cross-validation technique shows that the spatial-temporal model outperforms the others.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. Time Series models A.C. Harvey
  2. Biometrika v.66 Analysis of stationary spatial-temporal process : Estimation and prediction Ali, M. M.
  3. Introduction to Transportatin Engineering Banks, J. H.
  4. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B v.36 Spatial interations and the statistical analysis of lattice data Besag, J.
  5. Geographical Analysis v.1 Concerning the testing of spatial diffusion hypotheses Casettie, E.;Semple, R. K.
  6. Statistics for Spatial Data (Revised edition) Cressie, N.
  7. Statistics v.2 Spatio-Temporal Statistica Modeling of Livestock Waste in Streams Cressie, N.;Majure, J. J.
  8. Unpublished manuscript Spatial analysis of particulant matter in an urban environment Cressie, N.;Kaiser, M. S.;Daniels, M. J.;Aldworth, J.;Lee, J.;Lahiri, S. N.;Cox, L. H.
  9. Transactions and Papers v.66 Space-time modeling with an application to regional forecasting Cliff, A. D.;Ord, J. K.
  10. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis v.22 Spatio-temporal prediction of snow water equivalent using the Kalman filter Huang, H. C.;Cressie, N.
  11. Journal of the American Statistical Association v.90 Modeling satellite ozone data Niu, X.;Tiao, G. C.
  12. Technometrics v.22 A three-stage iterative procedure for space-time modeling Pfeifer, P. E.;Deutsch, S. J.
  13. Tehcnometrics v.22 Identification and interpretation of first order space-time ARMA models Pfeifer, P. E.;Deutsch, S. J.
  14. Technometrics v.23 Space-time ARMA modeling with comtemporaneously correlated innovations Deutsch, S. J.;Pfefer, P. E.