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선박의 항행안전지원을 위한 파랑추산에 관한 연구

Ocean Wave Forecasting and Hindercasting Method to Support for Navigational Safety of Ship

  • 신승호 (일본 항만공항기술연구소 해양수공부) ;
  • Shin, Seung-Ho (Dr. eng., Marine environment and Engineering Dept., Port and Airport Research Institute) ;
  • Hashimoto, Noriaki (Dr. eng., Marine environment and Engineering Dept., Port and Airport Research Institute)
  • 발행 : 2003.06.01

초록

해상수송의 안전성을 개선하는 하나의 수란으로서, 해상풍 정보로부터 예정 항로상에서 조우하게될 파랑정보를 높은 정밀도로 예측하여 단시간에 본선에 제공할 수 있는 시스템을 개발할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 이의 제1단계로서 대양에서의 다방향 불규칙파 예측을 위한 파랑추산모델을 제시하였다. 검토방법으로는 과거 실제 해역에서 발생한 황천에 기인한 선박 침몰사고를 대상으로 선박의 항행 일정에 따른 해상풍의 분석 및 파랑추산시뮬레이션을 수행하였으며, 이로부터 사고 선박이 조우한 해상을 평가하고 모델의 재현성 및 정도를 검토하였다. 연구비 결과, 사고 선박은 침몰사고의 원인이 Okhotsk해에서 발달한 저기압에 의해 급속히 성장한 고파랑 해역을 회피하지 못하여 발생한 것에 있음을 명백히 하였으며, 본 계산에 이용한 제3세대 파랑추산모델(WAM)로부터의 결과는 실제 관측 파랑의 유의파고, 주기, 방향 스펙트럼 등 항행관련의 파랑제원과 잘 부합되었으며, 실용 선박에서의 예측시스템 구축에 적용성이 양호한 것으로 나타났다.

In order to improve navigational safety of ships, an ocean wave prediction model of high precision within a short time, dealing with multi-directional random waves from the information of the sea surface winds encountered at the planned ship's course, was introduced for construction of ocean wave forecasting system on the ship. In this paper, we investigated a sea disaster occurred by a stormy weather in the past. We analyzed the sea surface wind first and then carried out ocean wave hindercasting simulations according to the routes the sunken vessel. From the result of this study, we concluded that the sea disaster was caused by rapidly developed iou pressure system Okhotsk Sea and the predicted values by the third generation wave prediction model(WAM) was agreed well with the observed significant wave height, wave period, and directional wave spectrum. It gives a good applicability for construction of a practical on-board calculation system.

키워드

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