Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering (한국정보통신학회논문지)

The Korea Institute of Information and Commucation Engineering (한국정보통신학회)
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Statistical Analyses on the Relationships between Red Tide Formation and Meteorological Factors in the Korean Coastal Waters

한국 연안의 적조형성과 기상인자간의 관계에 대한 통계적 해석

  • 윤홍주 (부경대학교 위성정보과학과) ;
  • 서영상 (국립수산과학원 해양환경) ;
  • 정종철 (남서울대학교 지리정보시스템공) ;
  • 남광우 (경성대학교 도시공학과)
  • Published : 2004.08.01
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Abstract

This study deals with the statistical analyses on the relationship between the red tide formation and the meteorological factors in the Korean coastal waters. From 1995 to 2002, the red tide was observed every year and the number of occurrences increased as well. The red tide mostly occurred in July, August, September and October. from multiple linear regression, the meteorological factors governing the mechanisms of the increase in the number of red tide occurrences are found to be a water temperature, rainfall, sunshine duration and wind velocity. But water temperature as the limited factor controlling the growth of phytoplankton (Cochlodinium polykrikoids) in 15∼$30^{\circ}c$. NO ＝ 8.089 - 0.319WT + 0.019RF + 0.141SD + 0.l19WV (R ＝ 0.897) in August NO = 7.531 - 0.327WT + 0.027RF + 0.208SD + 0.208WV (R ＝ 0.894) in September Here, NO is the number of occurrence for red tide, WT is water temperature, RF is rainfall, SD is sunshine duration and WV is wind velocity, respectively. The necessary times till the day of red tide occurrence verse the day when water temperature reaches $15^{\circ}c$ are 78∼104 days, then it should be divided the coastal waters into 4 areas by the comparison among the accumulated sunshine duration, water temperature and rainfall as follows； the South West Coast (SW), South Middle Coast (SM), South East Coast(SE) and East South Coast (ES). The coastal areas that red tide occurs were complicated and various by change of marine environments. Usually red tide with a high concentrations (individual number, cells/ml) appeared in SM and SE. It was found that the general situations for the frequencies of red tide formation are mainly concentrated to 24.5∼$25^{\circ}c$ (high water temperature) and eve. 1000 cells/ml (high individual number) such as the category of red tide warning.

1981년부터 2002년까지의 적조 발생에 대한 변화를 보면, 1995년 이후로 매년 적조가 발생했으며 특히 강우량이 많은 7∼8월에 집중하였다. 다중회기분석에서 적조발생건수와 기상인자 (수온, 강우량, 일조시수 그리고 풍속) 간의 상관성은 대체로 높게 나타났다 (R ＝ 0.856). 단, 수온은 15∼$30^{\circ}c$의 범위 내에서 적조 성장에 제한 인자로 작용한다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 수온이 $15^{\circ}c$되는 날로부터 적조가 발생하는 날까지 걸리는 일수는 78∼104일 정도이며, 해역에 따라 다소 약간의 차이를 보였다. 일반적으로 남해중부 및 남해동부해역이 남해서부 및 동해남부해역에 비해서 적조 발생 빈도가 높게 나타났는데, 주로 적조경보의 범주에 들어간다. 이때 대체로 두 해역은 24.$5^{\circ}c$∼$25^{\circ}c$의 높은 수온과 1000 Cells/ml 이상의 높은 밀도를 보였다.

Keywords

References

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