Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods

The Korean Statistical Society (한국통계학회)
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The Rating of Korean Basketball League Teams in 2006-2007 Season: Taking Account of Home-Court Advantage

홈팀의 이점을 고려한 KBL 2006-2007 시즌 경기력 평가

  • 이승천 (한신대학교 정보통계학과) ;
  • 변종석 (한신대학교 정보통계학과)
  • Published : 2008.09.30
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Abstract

It is widely known that the home advantage plays an important factor for determining victory or defeat in sport leagues. Thus a ranking system of sport league should take account of the home advantage as a key factor. Various statistical models are studied to rate the Korean Basketball league teams in 2006-2007 season. Among them, the model equation provided by Harville and Smith (1994) is useful for constructing two ranking systems. Both systems give quite reasonable quantifications of the team's ability and the home advantage.

홈/원정 방식으로 치러지는 스포츠 리그에서 일반적으로 홈팀의 승률이 50%가 넘는 현상에 대해 Courneya와 Carron (1992)은 홈팀의 이점(home advantage)이라는 용어로 설명하고 있다. 오늘날 스포츠 경기에서 홈팀의 이점은 자연스러운 현상으로 받아드려지고 있어 팀의 경기력 평가에서 중요한 요소의 하나로 인식되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 홈팀의 이점을 고려한 선형모형과 로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용하여 KBL 2006-2007 시즌에서 각 팀의 경기력을 평가하였다.

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References

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