한국항공운항학회지 (Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics)
- 제16권1호
- /
- Pages.46-57
- /
- 2008
- /
- 1225-9705(pISSN)
- /
- 2466-1791(eISSN)
부산권 항공수요예측 연구
A Study on the Future Air Traffic Demand in Busan Metropolitan Area
- 발행 : 2008.03.31
초록
Since the 90's, Korean Air transport market has been more expanded because of economic growth, the construction of airport infrastructure, and the advent of low cost carrier. Especially, the air traffic demand in Busan metropolitan area has been increasing steadily. Therefore, in this paper, we developed a new forecasting model which could expect the future air traffic demand in Busan area. This model is developed by regression analysis using social-economic variables such as GRDP, income, and the number of people, and dummy variables, for instance, KTX opening, Japan economic depression, SARS and so on. Result from demand forecasting by this new model suggests that the new airport system is needed in order to sustain the increasing air traffic demand in Busan area.