Journal of Korean Society of Transportation (대한교통학회지)

Korean Society of Transportation (대한교통학회)
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Uncertainty of Measurements in the Analysis of Vehicle Accidents

차량 사고 분석에서 측정의 불확실성

  • 한인환 (홍익대학교 기계정보공학과) ;
  • 박승범 (PNST 법과학기술연구소)
  • Received : 2010.01.20
  • Accepted : 2010.04.02
  • Published : 2010.06.30
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Abstract

Reconstruction analysis of traffic accident is done by analyzing diverse data such as the road, accident traces and damage on the automobile. Most data can be a variable in the process of analysis, and measurement error of the data occurs from the investigator, tool and the given environment. Therefore, accident analysis always has some risks of measurement uncertainty. This research quantify the uncertainty in traffic accident analysis by conducting repetitive measurement experiments for variables with high probability of uncertainly such as length (i.e. geometric structure of the road, tire marks) and coefficient of friction. This paper also suggests an analysis result for the uncertainly of photographic observation of automobile crush measurement. These statistical distributions can help determine appropriate ranges for the input data in order to estimate the accident reconstruction uncertainty.

교통사고의 재구성 해석은 도로와 사고흔적, 자동차 손상 등 다양한 자료들을 분석함으로서 이루어진다. 대부분의 자료들은 사고 해석에서 변수로 작용하며, 측정으로부터 구해지는 자료들은 조사자와 도구, 주어진 환경 등에 의해 측정 오차가 발생된다. 따라서 사고해석에서는 측정 오차에서 비롯되는 불확실성이 항상 존재한다. 본 연구는 불확실성이 존재할 가능성이 매우 높은 도로 기하구조와 타이어 흔적 등 길이와 마찰계수 등에 대해 반복 측정 실험을 함으로서 교통 사고해석에서의 불확실성을 정량화하였다. 또한 자동차 충돌 변형량의 사진 계측에 대한 불확실성에 대해서도 해석 결과를 제시하였다. 이러한 통계학적 분포들은 사고 재구성 불확실성을 추정하기 위해 입력 계수의 적절한 범위를 결정하는 것을 도울 수 있다.

Keywords

References

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