An Analytical Procedure to Estimate Non-recurrent Congestion caused by Freeway Accidents

고속도로 교통사고로 인한 비 반복 혼잡 추정 연구

  • Received : 2009.11.17
  • Accepted : 2010.02.23
  • Published : 2010.04.28

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to develop and apply a method that estimates the amount of traffic congestion (vehicle hours of delay) caused by traffic accidents that occur on freeways in Korea. A key feature of this research is the development of a method to separate the non- recurrent delay from any recurrent delay that is present on the road at the time and place of a reported accident. The main idea to separate these two delays is to use the speed difference between speed under accident condition and speed under normal flow condition. For the case study application, two datasets were combined to accomplish the objective of the study: (1) accident data and (2) traffic flow data. Eventually, the results can be useful for the performance evaluation of accident reduction program, for strategic plans to cope with congestion caused by traffic accidents, and for rectification of the estimation method for traffic congestion costs.

본 논문의 목적은 고속도로 교통사고로 인한 비 반복적 발생 혼잡을 추정하기 위한 방법을 개발하고, 개발된 방법을 국내 고속도로 교통사고에 적용하여 비 반복적 발생 혼잡을 추정하는 것이다. 교통사고로 인한 비 반복적 발생 혼잡은 반복적으로 혼잡이 발생하는 지역에서도 발생하기 때문에, 반복적으로 발생하는 혼잡과 비 반복적으로 발생하는 혼잡의 구분이 매우 중요하다. 이를 위해 본 논문에서는 각 구간별, 시간대별 평균속도와 교통사고로 인해 낮아진 속도와의 차이를 활용하였다. 본 연구에서는 제안된 방법을 활용하여 2008년 1년간 수집된 교통류 자료와 2008년에 발생된 교통사고 자료의 융합을 통한 비 반복적 발생 혼잡을 추정하였다. 이러한 교통사고로 인한 비 반복적 발생 혼잡은 교통사고 관련 개선 프로그램의 효과분석, 교통사고 대응 전략의 수립, 비 반복적 발생 혼잡비용의 추정을 통한 교통혼잡비용의 추정방법의 개선 등에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

Keywords

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