수산해양교육연구 (Journal of Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education)

  • 제22권3호
  • /
  • Pages.388-401
  • /
  • 2010
  • /
  • 1229-8999(pISSN)
  • /
  • 2288-2049(eISSN)
한국수산해양교육학회 (The Korean Society for Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education)
권호 표지

기후변화와 수산업의 관계에 관한 연구

Bio-Economic Relationships between Climate Change and Fisheries

  • 투고 : 2010.06.28
  • 심사 : 2010.08.17
  • 발행 : 2010.09.30
PDF 다운로드
⟨ 이전 논문 다음 논문 ⟩

초록

This research aims at analyzing impacts of climate change on fisheries. Climate change is an additional pressure on top of the many which fish stocks already experience. This implies that the impact of climate change must be evaluated in the context of other anthropogenic pressures, which often have a much greater and more immediate effect. Conversely, it is evident that fish stocks will be more resilient to climate impacts if the stresses due to other factors, such as over-fishing and pollution, are minimized. Improved management of fisheries and of marine ecosystems can undoubtedly play an important role in adapting to the impacts of climate change. Most of the improvements which are needed do not require new science or understanding, they require patient development of acceptable, effective, responsive social institutions and instruments for achieving adaptive management. Management advices must include complete and transparent information on risks and uncertainties which arise from data quality and from structural deficiencies in the assessment models. Well-designed and reliable monitoring of fish stocks and the marine ecosystem is essential in order to detect changes and give warning in advance of alterations in the productivity of individual species and of the structure and functioning of the ecosystem and fishery economy on which they depend.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. 박수진(2008). 생물다양성협약상 해양생물자원 관련 주요의제 분석을 통한 국내정책의 개선방향에 관한 연구, 해양정책연구, 23(1). 65-106.
  2. 정석근(2007). 한반도 기후 온난화와 어종 교체, 양동엽(편집), 해양변화! 위기인가 기회인가, 국립수산과학원, 2007, 21-23.
  3. 한인성, 따뜻해지고 있는 한반도 주변 바다, 편집: 양동엽, 해양변화! 위기인가 기회인가, 국립수산과학원, 2007, 59-70.
  4. ACACIA(2000). Assessment of Potential Effects and Adaptations for Climate Change in Europe: The Europe ACACIA Project, Jackson Environment Institute, University of East Anglia, 320.
  5. Atkinson, A., Siegel, V., Pakhomov, E., and Rothery, P.(2004). Long-term decline in krill stock and increase in salpa within the Southern Ocean, Nature, 432. 100-103. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature02996
  6. Beare, D. J., Batten, S., Edwards, M., and Reid, D. G.(2002). Prevalence of boreal Atlantic, temperate Atlantic and neritic zooplankton in the North Sea between 1958 and 1998 in relation to temperature, salinity, stratification intensity and Atlantic inflow, Journal of Sea Research, 48(1), 29-49. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1385-1101(02)00131-4
  7. Beaugrand, G., Reid, P. C., Ibanez, F., Lindley, J. A., and Edwards, M.(2002). Reorganization of North Atlantic marine copepod biodiversity and climate, Science, 296, 1692-1694. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1071329
  8. Brander, K. M.(2005). Cod recruitment is strongly affected by climate when stock biomass is low, ICES Journal of Marine Science, 62(3), 339-343. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.icesjms.2004.07.029
  9. Brander, K. M.(2006), Assessement of Possible Impacts on Fisheries, WBGU.
  10. Burgman, M.(2005). Risks and Decisions for Conservation and Environmental Management. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  11. Cushing, D. H.(1982). Climate and Fisheries. Academic Press, London.
  12. Glantz, M. H.(ed)(1992). Climate Variability, Climate Change and Fisheries, Cambridge Press.
  13. Gregg, W. W. Conkright, M. E., Ginoux, P. O'Reilly, J. E. and Casey, N. W.(2003). Ocean Primary Production and Climate Decadal Changes, Geophysical Research Letters, 30(15), 1809. https://doi.org/10.1029/2003GL016889
  14. Hamilton, L. C. and R L. Haedrich.(1999). Ecological and population changes in fishing communities of the North Atlantic Arc. Polar Research 18(2), 383-388. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1751-8369.1999.tb00318.x
  15. Harvell, C. D., Kim. K., Burkholder, J. M., Colwell, R. R., Epstein, P. R., Grimes, D. J., Hofmann, E. E., Lipp, E. K., Osterhaus, A. D. M. E., Overstreet, R. M., Porter, J. W., Smith, G. W., and Vasta, G. R.(1999). Emerging Marine Diseases-Climate Links and Anthropogenic Factors, Science, 285, 1505-1510. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.285.5433.1505
  16. ICES(2005). Report of the ad hoc group on long-term advice, ICES CM 2005/ACFM 25.
  17. IPCC(2003). The IPCC Workshop on the Detection and Attribution of the Effects of Climate Change, IPCC. 81.
  18. Jacobson, L. D., De Oliveira, J. A. A., Barange, M., Felix-Uraga, R, Hunter, J. R., Kim, J. Y., Niquen, M., Porteiro, C., Rothschild, B. J., Sanchez, R. P., Serra, R., Uriarte, A., and Wada, T.(2001). Surplus production, variability, and climate change in the great sardine and anchovy fisheries, Canadian Journal of fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 58(9), 1891-1903. https://doi.org/10.1139/f01-110
  19. Kawasaki, T.(1992). Climate-dependent fluctuations in the Far Eastern sardine population and their impacts on fisheries and society, In Climate variability, climate change, and fisheries., Glantz, M. H.
  20. Kell, L. T., Pastoors, M. A., Scott, R. D., Smith, M. T., Van Beek, F. A., O'Brien, C. M., and Pilling, G. M.(2005). Evaluation of multiple management objectives for Northeast Atlantic flatfish stocks: sustainability vs. stability of yield, ICES Journal of Marine Science, 62(6), 1104-1117. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.icesjms.2005.05.005
  21. Klyashtorin, L. B.(2001). Climate change and long-term fluctuations of commercial catches: the possibility of forecasting, FAO Fisheries Technical Paper, 410, 98.
  22. Koster F. W., Himichsen, H. H., St John, M. A., Schnack, D., Mackenzie, B. R., Tomkiewicz, J., and Plikshs, M.2001. Developing Baltic cod recruitment models, II. Incorporation of environmental variability and species interaction, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 58(8), 1534-1556. https://doi.org/10.1139/f01-093
  23. Kuhlbrodt, T., Rahmstorf, S., Jaeger, C., Zickfeld, K., Burger, G., Badeck, F., Pohl, S.,Hofmann, M., Wolf-Gladrow, D., Sprengel, C, Sundby, S., Adlandsvik, B., Vikebo, F.,Tol, R., and Link, M.(2005). Integrated Assessment of Changes in the Thermohaline Circulation - INTEGRATION DEKLIM, German Climate Research Programme (2001-2006), Final Symposium.
  24. Lehodey, P.(2001). The pelagic ecosystem of the tropical Pacific Ocean: dynamic spatial modelling and biological consequences of ENSO, Progress in Oceanography, 49, 439-469. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0079-6611(01)00035-0
  25. Lehodey, P., Chai, F., and Hampton, J.(2003). Modelling climate-related variability of tuna populations from a coupled ocean biogeochemical-populations dynamics model, Fisheries Oceanography, 12, 483-494. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2419.2003.00244.x
  26. McEvoy, J. P. and Oscar Zarate,(1996). Introducing Quantum Theory, McPherson's Printing Group, Victoria, Australia, 156.
  27. PICES(2005). Report of the Study Group on Fisheries and Ecosystem Responses to Recent Regime Shifts, PICES Scientific Report 28, 162.
  28. Sarmiento, J L., Slater, R., Barber, R., Bopp, L., Doney, S. C., Hirst, A. C., Kleypas, J.,Matear, R., Mikolajewicz, U., Monfray, P., Orr,J., Soldatov, V., Spall, S. A., and Stouffer, R.(2005), Response of Ocean Ecosystems to Climate Warming, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 18.
  29. Schmitaer, A.(2005). Decline of the marine ecosystem caused by a reduction in the Atlantic overturning circulation. Nature, 434, 628-633. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature03476
  30. Williams, E. H., and Shertzer, K. W.(2003). Implications of life-history invariants for biological reference points used in fishery management, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 60, 710-720. https://doi.org/10.1139/f03-059