Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods

The Korean Statistical Society (한국통계학회)
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Probabilities of Baccarat by Simulation

  • Received : 20110800
  • Accepted : 20111100
  • Published : 2012.01.30
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Abstract

In Baccarat, the gambler can bet on either the Player or Banker. The only gambler's strategy is to consider the previous winning history on the round. The winning probabilities of Player or Banker are calculated by simulation using R. Conditional winning probabilities given that Player or Banker has won i consecutive times are also calculated by simulation. Conditional winning probability implies that the sequence of Baccarat results is an almost independent sequence of events. It has been shown that the total amount of returns in each round of games is almost identical to a random walk. Thus, one possible strategy is to catch the trend(the Player or the Banker) of the random walk and to bet on that side of the trend.

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References

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