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Spatially dependent Parrondo games and stock investments

공간의존 파론도 게임과 주식 투자

  • Received : 2012.07.27
  • Accepted : 2012.08.25
  • Published : 2012.09.30

Abstract

Parrondo paradox is the counter-intuitive situation where individually losing games can combine to win or individually winning games can combine to lose. In this paper, we derive the expected profit per trade for each portfolio when we trade stocks everyday under the spatially dependent Parrondo game rule. Using stock data of KRX (Korea Exchange) from 2008 to 2010, we show that Parrondo paradox exists in the stock trading.

파론도 역설은 개별로는 지는 게임들이 결합하여 이기게 되거나 개별로는 이기는 게임들이 결합하여 지게 되는 역설적인 현상을 말한다. 본 논문에서는 주변의 투자 결과에 의해 매수 종목을 정하는 공간의존 파론도 게임의 규칙을 적용하여 매일 주식을 사고 파는 경우에 각 포트폴리오의 거래당 기대수익금을 계산하고, 2008년부터 2010년까지의 한국거래소의 주식 데이터를 이용하여 주식 투자에서도 파론도 역설 현상이 존재함을 확인한다.

Keywords

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