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Construction of Agricultural Meteorological Data by the New Climate Change Scenario for Forecasting Agricultural Disaster - For 111 Agriculture Major Station -

농업재해 예측을 위한 신 기후변화 시나리오의 농업기상자료 구축 - 111개 농업주요지점을 대상으로 -

  • 주진환 (공주대학교 대학원 농공학과) ;
  • 정남수 (공주대학교 지역건설공학과) ;
  • 서명철 (농촌진흥청 국립식량과학원 작물환경과 기후변화대응연구실)
  • Received : 2013.07.12
  • Accepted : 2013.10.18
  • Published : 2013.11.30

Abstract

For analysis of climate change effects on agriculture, precise agricultural meteorological data are needed to target period and site. In this study, agricultural meteorological data under new climate change scenario (RCP 8.5) are constructed from 2011 to 2099 in 111 agriculture major station suggested by Rural Development Administration (RDA). For verifying constructed data, comparison with field survey data in Suwon shows same trend in maximum temperature, minimum temperature, average temperature, and precipitation in 2011. Also comparison with normals of daily data in 2025, 2055, and 2085 shows reliability of constructed data. In analysis of constructed data, we can calculate sum of days over temperature and under temperature. Results effectively show the change of average temperature in each region and odd days of precipitation which means flood and dry days in target region.

Keywords

References

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