Journal of Korean Society of Transportation (대한교통학회지)

Korean Society of Transportation (대한교통학회)
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An Empirical Model for Estimating Bus Boarding and Alighting Time

버스 승하차시간 추정 모형 개발

  • Seong, Myeong Eon (TOD-based Sustainable City Transportation Research Center, Ajou University) ;
  • Choi, Keechoo (Department of Transportation Systems Engineering, Ajou University) ;
  • Shin, Kangwon (Department of Urban Design and Development Engineering, Kyungsung University) ;
  • Chung, Woohyun (TOD-based Sustainable City Transportation Research Center, Ajou University) ;
  • Lee, Kyu Jin (TOD-based Sustainable City Transportation Research Center, Ajou University)
  • 성명언 (아주대학교 TOD기반 지속가능 도시.교통 연구센터) ;
  • 최기주 (아주대학교 교통시스템공학과) ;
  • 신강원 (경성대학교 도시공학과) ;
  • 정우현 (아주대학교 TOD기반 지속가능 도시.교통 연구센터) ;
  • 이규진 (아주대학교 TOD기반 지속가능 도시.교통 연구센터)
  • Received : 2013.02.22
  • Accepted : 2014.04.14
  • Published : 2014.04.30
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Abstract

The total boarding and alighting time models have been developed by applying the multiple regression analysis with three variables; numbers of boarding or alighting passengers, non-sitting passengers, and the step-height from the ground. Such variables have influenced to the total boarding time model with the most influential in the numbers of boarding or alighting passengers and the least in the step-height. On the total alighting time model, the numbers of alighting passengers are the most strongest while the step-heights the least. The total boarding and alighting time models can be used in practices for the prediction of current and future bus stops' capacities in TOD-based towns.

현재 KHCM이 출판될 당시와 현재의 대중교통 환경이 달라져 승하차시간 산정방법이 달라질 필요가 있다고 판단된다. 이에 본 연구에서는 승하차시간에 영향을 주는 승하차수, 입석자수, 상면지상고를 변수로 총승하차시간값을 도출하는 모형을 다중회귀모형을 통해 분석하였다. 그 결과 총승차시간의 경우는 승하차수, 입석자수, 상면지상고 순으로 영향력의 차이가 있었으며, 총하차시간의 경우는 하차자수, 상면지상고 순으로 분석되었고, 두 개의 모형에서의 독립변수들은 모두 종속변수와 양의 상관관계를 가지는 것으로 나타났다. 모형을 통해 예측된 순수 승하차시간은 기존의 버스정류장은 물론 TOD를 고려한 신도시 등의 신설 버스정류장 용량 산정에 유용할 것으로 판단된다.

Keywords

References

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  2. 버스 정류장 정차시간 및 정시성에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구: 가로변 버스전용차로의 정류장을 중심으로 vol.35, pp.3, 2014, https://doi.org/10.7470/jkst.2017.35.3.234