Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics (한국항공운항학회지)

The Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics (한국항공운항학회)
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Aircraft Arrival Time Prediction via Modeling Vectored Area Navigation Arrivals

관제패턴 모델링을 통한 도착예정시간 예측기법 연구

  • 홍성권 (한국항공대학교 대학원 항공교통물류학과) ;
  • 이금진 (한국항공대학교 항공교통물류학과 조교수)
  • Received : 2014.06.02
  • Accepted : 2014.06.23
  • Published : 2014.06.30
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Abstract

This paper introduces a new framework of predicting the arrival time of an aircraft by incorporating the probabilistic information of what type of trajectory pattern will be applied by human air traffic controllers. The proposed method is based on identifying the major patterns of vectored trajectories and finding the statistical relationship of those patterns with various traffic complexity factors. The proposed method is applied to the traffic scenarios in real operations to demonstrate its performances.

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References

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