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Sensitivity Analysis of Hydrogeologic Parameters by Groundwater Table Fluctuation Model in Jeju Island

지하수위 변동 해석모델을 이용한 제주지역의 수리지질 매개변수 민감도 분석

  • Kim, Nam Won (Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology) ;
  • Kim, Youn Jung (Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology) ;
  • Chung, Il-Moon (Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology)
  • Received : 2014.03.24
  • Accepted : 2014.07.15
  • Published : 2014.10.01

Abstract

In this work, we have carried out a sensitivity analysis of hydrogeologic parameters such as reaction factor and drainable pore space in groundwater table fluctuation model and have found characteristics of parameter distribution according to the altitude. We found that drainable pore space which is hydrogeologic parameter of aquifer didn't show any trend with altitude while reaction factor which is groundwater flow characteristic showed clear trend with altitude. To find a sensitivity of parameters, we compared RMSE of estimated groundwater recharges by using the mean value and linear relationship of parameters. As results, the linear equation derived for entire watersheds could be applied to estimate parameters for ungauged watershed. Furthermore, the features of parameter distribution can be used to predict hydrogeologic parameter in ungauged watersheds and it is expected that those features could be used for a basic data for groundwater modeling.

지하수위 변동 해석모델을 이용하여 제주지역의 대수층 수리지질 매개변수인 반응계수와 배수가능공극을 추정하고 고도에 따른 분포특성 및 민감도분석을 실시하였다. 대수층 매질의 특성치인 배수가능공극은 고도에 대해 일정한 경향성을 보이지 않으며 지하수의 흐름 특성치인 반응계수는 고도가 높아질수록 낮아지는 뚜렷한 경향성을 보였다. 매개변수들에 대한 민감도를 알아보기 위해 매개변수의 평균 및 관계식을 이용하여 추정함양량을 비교한 결과, 전 유역(강정천, 외도천, 천미천, 한천)에 대한 매개변수 관계식을 적용하여도 미계측 유역내 매개변수의 추정이 가능할 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 본 연구의 결과를 통해 대표적인 수리지질 매개변수의 분포특성을 파악하여 미계측지역에서 매개변수를 추정함으로써 지하수모델링의 기초자료로도 활용 가능할 것으로 기대한다.

Keywords

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