The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration (수산경영론집)

The Korean Society of Fisheries Business Administration (한국수산경영학회)
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An Analysis of Changes in Catch Amount of Offshore and Coastal Fisheries by Climate Change in Korea

기후변화에 따른 한국 연근해 어업생산량 변화 분석

  • Eom, Ki-Hyuk (Fishery & Ocean Information Division, National Fisheries Research & Development Institute) ;
  • Kim, Hong-Sik (Department of Marine Business and Economics, Pukyong National University) ;
  • Han, In-Seong (Fishery & Ocean Information Division, National Fisheries Research & Development Institute) ;
  • Kim, Do-Hoon (Department of Marine Business and Economics, Pukyong National University)
  • 엄기혁 (국립수산과학원 수산해양종합정보과) ;
  • 김홍식 (부경대학교 해양수산경영학과) ;
  • 한인성 (국립수산과학원 수산해양종합정보과) ;
  • 김도훈 (부경대학교 해양수산경영학과)
  • Received : 2015.07.20
  • Accepted : 2015.08.14
  • Published : 2015.08.31
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Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the relationship between sea surface temperature as a climatic element and catch amount of offshore and coastal fisheries in Korea using annual time series data from 1970 to 2013. It also tried to predict the future changes in catch amount of fisheries by climate change. Time series data on variables were estimated to be non-stationary from unit root tests, but one long-term equilibrium relation between variables was found from a cointegration test. The result of Granger causality test indicated that the sea surface temperature would cause directly changes in catch amount of offshore and coastal fisheries. The result of regression analysis on sea surface temperature and catch amount showed that the sea surface temperature would have negative impacts on the catch amount of offshore and coastal fisheries. Therefore, if the sea surface temperature would increase, all other things including the current level of fishing effort being equal, the catch amount of offshore and coastal fisheries was predicted to decrease.

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References

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