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Estimation of Hourly Variations in Public Transit Demand according to the Addition of Sales Facilities to Railway Stations: Focusing on Metro and Bus Transit Demand

철도역사 판매시설 증축에 따른 시간대별 대중교통 수요 변화 추정: 지하철 및 버스 수요를 중심으로

  • Received : 2015.11.05
  • Accepted : 2015.12.04
  • Published : 2015.12.31

Abstract

The total number of passengers on the KTX since its construction in 2004 surpassed 500 million in October, 2015. The operation of KTX made it possible to reach anywhere in a country in half a day, which subsequently altered people's lifestyle. As the KTX has become an important mode of transportation, there is a growing interest in the optimal size and location of its stations. Currently, the stations are constructed through public-private partnerships since a sufficient amount of budget is hard to secure only from the public sector; however, because railway stations are traditionally aimed at promoting public interests, an emphasis on the profitability of the private sector could compromise public interests. At this juncture, this study separately computes the number of users based on each of the two primary functions of the stations-as a railway station and as a sales facility-and estimates the numbers of people according to various transportation modes that are taken to access the stations. This estimation is applied to the case of Dongdaegu Station, which will open in 2016. Such an application helps to predict and respond to possible congestion as brought about by the expansion of the sales facility.

국내철도는 2004년 KTX 개통을 계기로 2015년 10월 현재 KTX 이용객이 5억 명을 돌파하기에 이르렀다. KTX는 전국을 반나절 생활권으로 변화시켰으며, 이에 따라 생활패턴도 바뀌고 있다. KTX가 주요교통수단으로 자리 잡은 만큼 KTX가 정차하는 철도역사의 규모 및 위치도 주요한 관심사로 부각되고 있다. 현재의 KTX복합역사개발은 정부예산 확보가 어려운 만큼 민자사업 형태로 진행 중에 있는 가운데 철도역사는 공익성 측면이 강한 시설물이므로 민간사업의 형태로 개발된다면 민간사업자 수익창출의 반대급부로 역사가 가진 공익성을 저해될 수도 있다. 이에 본 연구는 KTX복합환승센터의 주요기능인 철도역사기능과 판매시설기능이 발생시키는 각각의 개별이용인원을 분리, 접근교통수단별 이용인구를 추정하고 이를 2016년 후반기에 준공될 동대구복합역사 사례에 적용한다. 이를 통해 동대구 역사의 판매시설물 확장이 유발할 수 있는 대중교통 혼잡을 예측하여 실제 운영 시 발생 가능한 혼잡을 저감하기 위한 정책 마련에 도움을 줄 수 있다.

Keywords

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