The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences (한국전자통신학회논문지)

Korea Institute of Electronic Communication Science (한국전자통신학회)
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Prediction of Red Tide Occurrence by using Oceanic and Atmospheric Data by Satellite

인공위성을 통한 해양·기상자료를 이용한 적조발생예보

  • 오승열 (부경대학교 공간정보시스템공학과) ;
  • 박재문 (부경대학교 공간정보시스템공학과) ;
  • 윤홍주 (부경대학교 공간정보시스템공학과)
  • Received : 2014.12.07
  • Accepted : 2015.02.09
  • Published : 2015.02.28
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Abstract

Red tide occurs every year in the coastal seas of the South Korea, This phenomena has become a national issue of environmental and economic damage. In this study, we analyzed a suitable conditions to occur the red tide by using oceanic and atmospheric data during 10 years, These factors were applied to predict the red tide occurrence from 2012 to 2014. As a result, in 2012 and 2013, it is able to alarm the red tide occurrence before 6~11 days. However, in compared to the normal year and 2014, the prediction of red tide occurrence were less accurate because of more precipitation, short sunshine duration, low temperature waters. Therefore, it is necessary to further investigate the impact of sunshine duration(Solar radiation) on red tide occurrence, it is more necessary to consider the comprehensive analysis using additional oceanic and atmospheric factors.

우리나라 연안에서 매년 발생하는 적조는 환경적, 경제적인 피해의 발생으로 국가적인 문제로 대두되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 10년간의 해양 기상자료를 수집하여 적조발생에 우호적인 조건을 분석하고 각 해양 기상 요소를 이용하여 2012년부터 2014년까지의 해양 기상상황에 적용하여 적조발생예측을 시도하였다. 그 결과 2012년과 2013년은 실제 적조발생 6~11일 전에 적조의 발생가능경보를 할 수 있었다. 그러나 2014년은 평년에 비해 많은 강수(장마), 낮은 일조시수, 저수온 해역 발생 등의 이유로 적조예측의 정확도가 떨어지는 결과를 얻었다. 따라서 적조발생에 일조량이 미치는 영향을 더욱 고려할 필요가 있으며 추가적인 기상 및 해양요소들의 복합적인 분석이 더욱 필요할 것으로 사료된다.

Keywords

References

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