DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

An Economic Analysis of Domestic Fuel Cell Vehicles Considering Subsidy and Hydrogen Price

보조금과 수소가격을 고려한 국내 연료전지차의 경제성 분석

  • 김봉진 (단국대학교 산업공학과)
  • Received : 2014.12.09
  • Accepted : 2015.02.28
  • Published : 2015.02.28

Abstract

This paper deals with the economic analysis of domestic fuel cell vehicles considering subsidy and hydrogen price in 2015 and 2025. We selected TFCV (Tucson fuel cell vehicle) and TDV (Tucson diesel vehicle) to identify the economic feasibility of fuel cell vehicles compared with conventional internal combustion engine vehicles. We made some sensitivity analysis by changing input factors such as the size of the subsidy, the hydrogen price and the discount rate. Also, we made a break-even point analysis on hydrogen prices that equalize the economic feasibility of TFCV and TDV in 2025. As a result, TFCV is not economical in 2015 due to the relatively high prices of hydrogen and vehicles. If the sale prices of TFCV are 30,000,000 won and 35,000,000 won in 2025, then the break-even points of hydrogen prices are equal to 7,483 won/kg and 5,043 won/kg.

Keywords

References

  1. M. Granovskii, I. Dincer, M.A. Rosen, "Economic and Environmental Comparison of Conventional, Hybrid, Electric and Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicles", Journal of Power Source, Vol. 29, 2006, pp. 1186-1193.
  2. G.J. Offer, M. Contestabile, D.A. Howey, R. Clague, N.P. Brandon, "Techno-economic and Behavioral Analysis of Battery Electric, Hydrogen Fuel Cell and Hybrid Vehicles in a Future Sustainable Road Transport System in the UK", Energy Policy, Vol. 39, 2011, pp. 1939-1350. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.01.006
  3. M.E. Yang, B. Gim, J.W. Kim, "An Economic Feasibility Analysis of a Hydrogen Fuel-cell Vehicle Considering GHG", Journal of the Korean Society of New and Renewable Energy, Vol. 1, 2005, pp. 42-50.
  4. G.A. Fleisher, Engineering Economy: Capital Allocation Theory, Boston, Massachusetts, USA, PWS Engineering, 1984.
  5. Department of Energy, Multi-Year RD&D, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, USA, 2011.
  6. Korea Energy Economics Institute, A Permanent Establishment Sample Survey on the Household Energy Consumption in 2012, Korea, 2013.
  7. D.B. Meyer, G.D. Ariff, B.D. James, J.S. Lettow, C.E. Thomas, R.C. Kuhn, Cost and Performance Comparison of Stationary Hydrogen Fueling Appliances, Arlington, Virginia, USA: Directed Technology Inc., 2002.
  8. J.X. Weinert, L. Shaojun, J.M. Ogden, M. Jianxin, "Hydrogen Refueling Station Costs in Shanghai", International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, Vol. 32, 2007, pp. 4089-4100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhydene.2007.05.010
  9. B. Gim, W.L. Yoon, "Analysis of the Economy of Scale and Estimation of the Future Hydrogen Production Costs at On-site Hydrogen Refueling Stations in Korea", International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, Vol. 37, 2012, pp. 19138-19145. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhydene.2012.09.163