Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society (한국산학기술학회논문지)

The Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society (한국산학기술학회)
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The Shelf-life Prediction of Single-Base Propellants by applying the Kinetic Model of n-th Order

n차 반응속도 모델을 적용한 단기추진제의 저장수명 예측

  • Received : 2015.04.14
  • Accepted : 2015.05.07
  • Published : 2015.05.31
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Abstract

Single-base propellants contain a single energetic component: nitrocellulose. Accurate predictions of propellant shelf-life should result in cost savings in terms of human and material resources. This study derived an optimized kinetic model reaction order that described stabilizer consumption and estimated propellant shelf-life. High temperature accelerated aging tests gave an optimum reaction order value of 1.15481, from which the minimum standard error of a linear regression estimate of 16.284 was obtained. At normal storage temperature of $21-30^{\circ}C$, propellants should have a safe shelf-life of 140 years, and a minimum of 35 years. It is necessary to consider the temperature range in ammunition storage areas to predict propellant shelf-life more accurately.

단기추진제는 Nitrocellulose를 주요 에너지원으로 사용하는 추진제이다. 추진제의 정확한 저장 수명 예측은 인적, 물적 자원의 비용 절감 효과를 기대할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 안정제 함량 변화모사에 대해 n차 반응속도 모델을 적용하여 최적의 반응차수를 도출하고, 이에 따른 저장 수명을 예측하였다. 고온가속노화시험 결과로부터 최적의 반응차수는 1.15481로 도출되었으며, 이때의 추정표준오차(${\times}100$ 기준)는 16.284로 나타났다. 일반 저장온도 범위를 $21^{\circ}C$에서 $30^{\circ}C$로 가정하면, 본 시험에 사용된 단기추진제는 약 35년에서 최대 140년까지 저장 수명이 예측되었다. 정확한 저장 수명을 예측하기 위해서는 탄약 저장고내 온도 분포를 데이터화하여 적용하는 것이 타당할 것으로 판단된다.

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References

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