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Road Networks and Crime Occurrence Multi-Agent Simulation for Smart Safe City

스마트 안전도시 조성을 위한 도로망 특성과 범죄발생 멀티에이전트(Multi-Agent) 시뮬레이션

  • MOON, Tae-Heon (ERI, Dept. of Urban Engineering, Gyeongsang National University) ;
  • CHO, Jung-Hun (ERI, Dept. of Urban Engineering, Gyeongsang National University)
  • 문태헌 (경상대학교 도시공학과) ;
  • 조정훈 (경상대학교 도시공학과)
  • Received : 2015.04.26
  • Accepted : 2015.06.11
  • Published : 2015.06.30

Abstract

Under the hypothesis that the form of road network could affect crime occurrence, this study demonstrates to prove them using Space Syntax with real crime data. We calculated integration, control, connection index by means of Space Syntax and analyzed the relationship between the three indexes and the number of crime occurrence on the each road. Next, in order to generalize the analysis results we adopted Multi-Agent Model and simulated several scenarios on the computer virtual space. The results revealed that integration index has the strongest relationship with crime occurrence both in the case of real study area and virtual space simulations. Though this study has several limitations on the extent of virtual space and realistic computer programming of agents' behavior, the results are meaningful to verify the relationship between the form of read network and crime occurrence. Moreover the simulation platform that this study developed has promising possibilities to find realistic solutions on the effective police deployment or facility layout to improve smart safe city development.

본 연구는 범죄로부터 안전한 생활환경 조성을 위해 도로망의 형태도 범죄발생에 영향을 미칠 것이라는 가정하에 공간구문론(Space Syntax)을 활용하여 사례지역을 대상으로 실증 분석하였다. 즉 도로별로 통합도, 통제도, 연결도를 공간구문론으로 계산하고, 각 도로별 실제 범죄발생 건수와 상관성을 분석하였다. 다음으로 분석결과를 일반화할 수 있는지를 확인하기 위해 멀티에이전트모형(Multi-Agent Model)을 개발하여 컴퓨터상의 가상공간에서 시나리오를 설정하고 시뮬레이션 하였다. 그 결과 도로망의 통합도가 범죄발생과 가장 연관성이 높은 것으로 분석되었으며, 가상공간 시뮬레이션 결과에도 통합도가 가장 영향을 많이 주는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 멀티에이전트 시뮬레이션에서 실험공간 규모나 에이전트 행동의 프로그래밍에 한계가 있었지만 현실 데이터와 가상공간 시뮬레이션에 의해 도로망 체계와 범죄발생간의 관계를 규명하였다는데 의의가 있다. 또한 본 연구에서 개발된 시뮬레이션 플랫폼은 다양한 실험이 가능하므로 경찰력이나 방범시설의 배치 등 보다 현실적인 문제에 대한 해결방안 모색과 스마트 안전도시를 앞당기는데 기여할 것이다.

Keywords

References

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