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Korea Institute of Electronic Communication Science (한국전자통신학회)
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Analysis of National Competitiveness Effect according as Transportation Infrastructure Stock - Focused on Moscow, Russia -

교통 SOC 스톡수준에 따른 국가 경쟁력 영향 분석 - 러시아 모스크바를 대상으로 -

  • 박은경 (동양대학교 철도대학 철도전기통신학과)
  • Received : 2015.07.02
  • Accepted : 2015.08.23
  • Published : 2015.08.31
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Abstract

Transport Social Overhead Capital refers to public utilities necessary for a nation's basic economic activities, and is divided into roads, railway, subway, ports and so on. It is important to be able to provide these SOC in the right place at the right time to enhance productivity and competitiveness of a nation. In this study, correlation and factor analysis on countries' socioeconomic and transport indicators were performed in order to understand the need for expansion of SOCs including railway, and to identify the impact they have on national competitiveness(productivity). As a result, GDP showed high correlativity(0.59~0.99) with factors such as population, land area, extension of available railroad, and road extension. Specifically, through the analysis of Russia's urban transport system and comparison between socioeconomic indices and SOCs of OECD countries, it was examined that how increasing transport infrastructure investments could enhance national competitiveness. In conclusion, opening new Light Rail greatly affects the growth of GDP followed by the increasing extension of available railroad. Furthermore, if available railroad extension is increased by 10 % from 2014, assuming high speed tram is opened, GDP will likely increase by 21.6%.

교통부문 사회간접자본(SOC)은 국가 전체의 경제활동에 필요한 기반을 제공하는 공공시설이며 도로, 철도, 지하철, 항만 등으로 구분된다. 또한 국가의 생산성 및 경쟁력 증대를 위해서는 주요 사회간접자본(도로, 철도, 항만 등)을 적기 적소에 공급하는 것이 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 철도를 포함한 SOC스톡의 확충 필요성을 인지하고 국가경쟁력(생산성)증대에 미치는 영향 정도를 파악하기 위해 국가별 사회경제 및 수송지표간 상관분석, 요인분석을 수행하였다. 그 결과 GDP는 인구, 국토면적, 유효철도연장, 도로연장과 높은 상관성(0.59~0.99)을 보였다. 특히 러시아의 도시교통시스템 현황을 분석하고 주요 OECD국가의 인구, GDP, 국토면적 등 사회경제지표와 도로 및 철도연장 등 사회간접자본(SOC)을 비교하여 장래 교통시설투자 확충의 필요성과 이에 따른 국가 경쟁력 변화를 분석한 결과, 경전철 신설 개통은 유효철도연장 증가 및 이에 따른 GDP 증가에 많은 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었으며, 고속 트램(경전철)의 추가 개통을 가정하여 유효철도 연장이 2014년에 비해 10% 증가함을 가정 할 경우 GDP는 21.6% 증가할 것으로 분석되었다.

Keywords

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