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A Variable Speed Limits Operation Model to Minimize Confliction at a Bottleneck Section by Cumulative Demand-Capacity Analysis

대기행렬이론을 이용한 병목지점 충돌위험 저감 가변속도제어 운영모형

  • LEE, Junhyung (Department of Urban Planning & Engineering, Yonsei University) ;
  • SON, Bongsoo (Department of Urban Planning & Engineering, Yonsei University)
  • Received : 2015.01.22
  • Accepted : 2015.10.28
  • Published : 2015.10.31

Abstract

This study proposed a Variable Speed Limits(VSL) algorithm to use traffic information based on Cumulative Demand-Capacity Analysis and evaluated its performance. According to the analysis result, the total of delay consisted of 3 separate parts. There was no change in total travel time although the total of delay decreased. These effects was analysed theoretically and then, evaluated through VISSIM, a microscopic simulator. VISSIM simulation results show almost same as those of theoretical analysis. Furthermore in SSAM analysis with VISSIM simulation log, the number of high risk collisions decreased 36.0 %. However, the total delay decrease effect is not real meaning of decrease effect because the drivers' desired speed is same whether the VSL model is operated or not. Nevertheless this VSL model maintains free flow speed for longer and increases the cycle of traffic speed fluctuation. In other words, this is decrease of delay occurrence and scale. The decrease of speed gap between upstream and downstream stabilizes the traffic flow and leads decrease number of high risk collision. In conclusion, we can expect increase of safety through total delay minimization according to this VSL model.

본 연구에서는 검지기에서 수집가능한 교통정보를 이용한 대기행렬이론 기반 가변속도제어 운영모형과 그 효과를 제시하였다. 모형분석결과 가변속도제어를 실시할 때 총 지체가 3개 영역으로 나뉘어 발생하며, 총 통행시간의 증감없이 총 지체가 감소하였다. 이와 같은 가변속도제어 모형의 효과는 이론적 분석 후 VISSIM 미시 시뮬레이터를 통하여 검증하였으며, SSAM을 이용한 고위험 상충건수 분석이 이루어졌다. 분석결과 총 지체가 감소한 것으로 나타났으나, 총 통행시간이 동일하고 운전자의 희망통행속도는 가변속도제어 유무와 관계없이 동일하므로 실제 총 지체가 줄어든 것으로 볼 수 없다. 하지만 위 가변속도제어 모형은 자유속도 유지시간을 증가시키고, 속도편차발생 주기를 늘렸다. 이는 반복적인 지정체의 규모와 횟수 저감을 통해, 상하류부 교통류간 속도 차이를 줄여줌으로써 고위험 상충건수를 약 36.0% 저감하는 것으로 나타난다. 즉, 본 연구에서 제시한 가변속도제어값을 이용하여 가변속도제어를 실시할 경우 총 지체를 최소화함으로써 고위험 상충건수를 저감하는 안전성 향상효과를 기대할 수 있다.

Keywords

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