The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers (전기학회논문지)

The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers (대한전기학회)
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Improvement of the Load Forecasting Accuracy by Reflecting the Operation Rates of Industries on the Consecutive Holidays

특수일 조업률 반영을 통한 전력수요예측 정확도 향상

  • Lim, Nam-Sik (Dept. of Demand Management & Optimization, KEPCO) ;
  • Lee, Sang-Joong (Dept. of Electrical Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology)
  • Received : 2015.07.03
  • Accepted : 2015.12.31
  • Published : 2016.07.01
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Abstract

This paper presents the daily load forecasting for special days considering the rate of operation of industrial consumers. The authors analyzed the power consumption pattern for both the special and ordinary days according to the contract power classification of industrial consumers, and selected 400~600 specific consumers for which the rates of operation during special days are needed. Load forecasting for 2014 special days considering the rate of operation of industrial consumers showed a noticeable improvement on forecasting error of daily peak demand, which proved the effectiveness of the survey for the rates of operation during special days of industrial consumers.

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References

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