한국추진공학회지 (Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers)

  • 제22권5호
  • /
  • Pages.73-80
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  • 2018
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  • 1226-6027(pISSN)
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  • 2288-4548(eISSN)
한국추진공학회 (The Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers)
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추진체계 개념설계단계에서 불확실성 고려방법에 대한 연구

Uncertainty Quantification of Propulsion System on Early Stage of Design

  • 투고 : 2017.06.05
  • 심사 : 2018.04.22
  • 발행 : 2018.10.01
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초록

고속 추진체계의 개발 초기는 자료의 부족, 비용 제약, 지상에서 실제 비행환경 모사의 어려움 등으로 불확실 요소들을 확률분포의 형태로 모델링하기 어려운 실정이다. 이러한 이유로 본 연구에서는 이중연소 램제트를 대상으로 전문가들의 경험에 의한 연소효율 정보를 수집하여 이를 에비던스 이론으로 모델링하여 불확실성을 정량화 하였다. 정량화한 불확실성 정보를 이용하여 흡입구와 연소기의 출구면적에 대하여 추력여유와 열질식의 불확실성을 고려한 신뢰성 최적설계를 수행하였다. 한정된 불확실 정보를 가지고 엔진의 개념설계가 가능함을 확인할 수 있었다.

At the early stages of development of high-speed propulsion systems, associated uncertainties cannot be easily modeled into probabilistic distributions, owing to the lack of test data, cost, and difficulty of simulating real-flight environments on the ground. To tackle this issue, in this research, the combustion efficiencies of dual-combustion ramjet engines are assumed to have been provided by experts and quantified by evidence theory. Using quantified uncertainty, the inlet area and combustor exit are optimized while satisfying reliability margins of thrust and thermal choking. The result shows a reasonable design of the engine under uncertain circumstances.

키워드

참고문헌

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