DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Long-term Trend of Liquidity Premium in the Korean Stock Market

국내 주식시장에서 유동성 프리미엄의 장기적 변화에 대한 연구

  • Received : 2019.05.30
  • Accepted : 2019.06.18
  • Published : 2019.06.30

Abstract

Following the methodology of Ben-Rephael, Kadan and Wohl (2015), this paper examines whether firm-level liquidity premium exists and whether the premium exhibits a long-term trend in the Korean stock market. The results show that over the whole sample period (1998-2018), a liquidity premium of 0.083% exists in the cross-section of stocks. Interestingly, the pricing of liquidity declines significantly over the sample period. Sub-period analysis indicates that liquidity is priced mainly in the first sub-period (1998-2004) with a significant monthly premium of 0.304%, while the pricing of liquidity becomes weaker or insignificant in the second (2005-2011) and the third (2012-2018) period. I also find that the significance of the liquidity premium in the first period is attributed to small stocks. To explore underlying reasons that might affect the decline in the liquidity premium, I decompose liquidity premium into the product of firm-level liquidity and the sensitivity of expected stock returns on liquidity. The results reveal that the long-term decline is explained by both an increase in firm-level liquidity and a decrease in the sensitivity of expected returns on liquidity.

Keywords

References

  1. Acharya, V. V. and L. H. Pedersen (2005), "Asset Pricing with Liquidity Risk", Journal of Financial Economics, 77(2), 375-410. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2004.06.007
  2. Amihud, Y., A. Hameed, W. Kang and H. Zhang (2015), "The Illiquidity Premium: International Evidence", Journal of Financial Economics, 117(2), 350-368. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.04.005
  3. Amihud, Y. and H. Mendelson (1986), "Asset Pricing and the Bid-Ask Spread", Journal of Financial Economics, 17(2), 223-249. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(86)90065-6
  4. Amihud, Y. and H. Mendelson (1989), "The Effects of Beta, Bid-Ask Spread, Residual Risk and Size on Stock Returns", Journal of Finance, 44(2), 479-486. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1989.tb05067.x
  5. Amihud, Y. (2002), "Illiquidity and Stock Returns: Cross-Section and Time-Series Effect", Journal of Financial Markets, 5, 31-56. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1386-4181(01)00024-6
  6. Ben-Rephael, A., O. Kadan and A. Wohl (2015), "The Diminishing Liquidity Premium", Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 50, 197-229. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022109015000071
  7. Brennan, M. J., T. Chordia and A. Subrahmanyam (1998), "Alternative Factor Specifications, Security Characteristics and the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns", Journal of Financial Economics, 49(3), 345-373. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(98)00028-2
  8. Brennan, M. J. and A. Subrahmanyam (1996), "Market Microstructure and Asset Pricing: On the Compensation for Illiquidity in Stock Returns", Journal of Financial Economics, 41(3), 441-464. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(95)00870-K
  9. Carhart, M. M. (1997), "On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance", Journal of Finance, 52(1), 57-82. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb03808.x
  10. Charoenrook, A. and J. S. Conrad (2008), "Identifying Risk-Based Factors", Working Paper, Vanderbilt University.
  11. Constantinides, G. M. (1986), "Capital Market Equilibrium with Transaction Costs", Journal of Political Economy, 94(4), 842-862. https://doi.org/10.1086/261410
  12. Fama, E. F. and K. R. French (1993), "Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds", Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1), 3-56. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(93)90023-5
  13. Fama, E. F. and J. D. MacBeth (1973), "Risk, Return and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests", Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 607-636. https://doi.org/10.1086/260061
  14. Hasbrouck, J. (2009), "Trading Costs and Returns for U.S. Equities: Estimating Effective Costs from Daily Data", Journal of Finance, 64(3), 1445-1477. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2009.01469.x
  15. Joo, Sung-Wan and Kyong-Shik Eom (2015), "Stock Market Liquidity as a Leading Indicator for Economic Growth: Korean Evidence", The Korean Journal of Financial Management, 32(1), 147-185. https://doi.org/10.22510/kjofm.2015.32.1.006
  16. Lee, Hyung-Chul (2016), "Institutional Trading, Stock Liquidity and Firm Value", Korean Journal of Financial Studies, 45(5), 1131-1165.
  17. Newey, W. K. and K. D. West (1987), "A Simple Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix", Econometrica, 55(3), 703-708. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913610
  18. Park, Jae-Sung and Kyong-Shik Eom (2008), "The Characteristics of the Illiquidity Premium, Measured via Spread", Asian Review of Financial Research, 21(2), 77-114.
  19. Pastor, L. and R. F. Stambaugh (2003), "Liquidity Risk and Expected Stock Returns", Journal of Political Economy, 111(3), 642-685. https://doi.org/10.1086/374184
  20. Sadka, R. (2006), "Momentum and Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Anomalies: The Role of Liquidity Risk", Journal of Financial Economics, 80(2), 309-349. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2005.04.005
  21. Seon, Jung-Hoon, Kyong-Shik Eom and Samg-Buhm Hahn (2008), "Liquidity Commonality on the Korea Stock Exchange", Korean Journal of Financial Studies, 34(1), 129-163.
  22. Vayanos, D. (1998), "Transaction Costs and Asset Prices: A Dynamic Equilibrium Model", Review of Financial Studies, 11(1), 1-58. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/11.1.1
  23. Yang, Cheol-Won (2012), "Comparisons of Liquidity Measures in the Korean Stock Market", Asian Review of Financial Research, 25(1), 37-88.