DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Synchronization Phenomenon of Imports & Exports Trade Volume, Imports & Exports Amount, Trade Balance of ICT

ICT 산업의 수출입 물동량과 수출입액, 무역수지의 동조화현상

  • Received : 2019.02.25
  • Accepted : 2020.05.20
  • Published : 2020.05.28

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between export weight, import weight, export amount, import amount, and trade balance of ICT industry. The data used were gathered from the Korea Customs Service trade statistics. The analysis period used annual data for 19 years from 2000 to 2018. The change rate analysis was shown in order of trade balance, export amount, import amount, import weight and export weight. The increase rate analysis showed that the trade balance was the highest at 919%.. In the correlation analysis, the trade balance and export amount were 0.95, showing the highest correlation coefficient. As a result of the regression analysis, the export amount for the trade balance, the dependent variable, was Coefficient 2.37, which was positive(+). Each variable is changing independently of one another. Since 2000, the trade balance of the Korean ICT industry has led 84% of Korea's total trade balance. In the future, Korea's ICT industry should be further developed for Korea's economic development, and exports should be further increased to increase the trade balance. In the next paper, we will try to find a field that can be specifically developed by subdividing the ICT industry.

본 연구의 목적은 ICT 산업의 수출중량과 수입중량, 수출금액, 수입금액, 무역수지와의 관계를 분석하는 것이고 관세청 무역통계에서 자료를 수집하였다. 분석기간은 2000년부터 2018년까지 총 19년간 연간자료를 사용하였다. 변동률 분석은 무역수지, 수출금액, 수입금액, 수입중량, 수출중량 순으로 크게 나타났으며 상승률 분석은 무역수지가 919%로 가장 높게 나타났다. 상관분석에서 무역수지는 수출액(0.95)과 가장 높은 상관계수를 보여주었다. 회귀분석결과 종속변수인 무역수지에 대해 수출액은 Coefficient 2.37로 양(+)의 방향으로 나타났고 각 변수들은 상호 독립적으로 변동하고 있다. 지난 2000년 이후 한국 ICT 산업의 무역수지가 한국 총 무역수지의 84%를 주도해 왔다. 향후 한국 수출과 경제발전을 위해 한국 ICT 산업을 더욱 발전시켜야 하고 무역수지 증가를 위해 수출액을 더욱 증가시켜야 할 것이다. 다음 논문에서는 ICT 산업을 세분화하여 구체적으로 발전 가능한 분야를 찾아보아야 한다.

Keywords

References

  1. Display Solution. (2018). What is the Fourth Industrial Revolution and ICT Industry?, HIDSIPLAY (Online). http://blog.naver.com/hidisplay/221252164371.
  2. J. Y. Park & G. I. Kim. (2018). ICT Utilization for Optimization of SME Decision Making, Convergence Society for SMB, 8(1), 275-280.
  3. J. H. Oh & S. H. Woo. (2018). Forecasting Freight Volume of Jeju Port using System Dynamics, Korea Logistics Review, 28(3), 29-40.
  4. Y. F. Liu & C. B. Lee (2019), A Study on the Structural Changes of Import & Export Containers between South Korean and Chinese Ports, Korea Logistics Review, 29(2), 1-12.
  5. S. J. Kim & J. I. Choi. (2019). The Effect of Export Volume, Export Price Index and Treasury Bond Interest Rate on Export Amount, Journal of Convergence for Information Technology, 9(9), 133-140.
  6. C. B. Lee & J. H. No. (2018). A Trend Analysis on Export Container Volume Between Korea and East Asian Ports, Journal of Korea Port Economic Association. 34, 97-113. https://doi.org/10.38121/kpea.2018.06.34.2.97
  7. H. H. Kim, J. W. Kim & G. T. Yeo. (2017). Forecasting of Container Cargo Volumes of China using System Dynamics, Journal of Digital Convergence, 15(3), 157-163. https://doi.org/10.14400/JDC.2017.15.3.157
  8. Y. G. An, M. G. Lee & J. D. Park. (2017). Factor Analysis of Seaborne Trade Volume Affecting on The World Economy, Korea Trade Review, 42(2), 277-296.
  9. S. H. Choi & J. I. Choi. (2017). Analysis of Volatility and Directionality of Korean Imports and Exports : Focused on USA, Japan, China, UK, Journal of Digital Convergence, 15(10), 113-121. https://doi.org/10.14400/JDC.2017.15.10.113
  10. B. J. Yim & S. Y. Lee. (2017). Mutual Influence Among Life Satisfaction, Export Volume and Import Volume in Korea, Journal of International Trade & Commerce, 13(1), 331-345.
  11. S. M. Jang & G. I. Kim. (2018). The Effects of the Environmental Factors for ICT adoption on Globalization capabilities and business performance of SMEs, Convergence Society for SMB, 8(4), 219-224.
  12. G. I. Ko & D. S. Choi. (2013). The Effects of Uncertainty in Financial Markets on Exports, Korean Management Consulting Review, 13(4), 275-296.
  13. S. H. Choi. (2018). Exports Trends by Major Ports .Airports and Future Development Direction, Journal of the Korea Convergence Society, 10(1), 177-186. https://doi.org/10.15207/jkcs.2019.10.1.177
  14. J. H. Jung. (2017). Survey on Companies in Jeju exporting to China and Plans Improving Capabilities to Export, Jeju Research Institute.
  15. D. M. Baek. (2015). Korea-Japan export comparison by yen - Full damage to the automotive sector, Hyundai Research Institute, Issue Report, 21, 1-15.
  16. S. H. Lee, D. W. Lee (2018), A Study on ICT Technology Leading Change of Unmanned Store, Convergence Society for SMB, 8(4), 109-114.
  17. B. J. Kim. (2019). A Test on the Mutual Spillover Effects between Stock Market and Trade Balance in Korea, US, Europe, and China, Journal of international area studies, 23(1), 47-67.
  18. U. Uprasen. (2018). Asymmetric Effect of Exchange Rate on the Balance of Trade between Korea and Japan, Institute for Humanities and Social Sciences, 19(2), 491-524. https://doi.org/10.15818/IHSS.2018.19.2.491
  19. B. J. Kim. (2017). A Test for Mutual Impacts of Trade Balance and Stock Market Return between Korea and Russia, The Journal of Business Education, 31(4), 69-88. https://doi.org/10.34274/KRABE.2017.31.4.004
  20. J. H. Cho. (2019). The Real Exchange Rate Effect on Bilateral Trade Balance between Korea and ASEAN Countries, Korea Trade Review, 44(1), 17-30.
  21. J. K. Kim. (2013). An Empirical Analysis on the Relationship between Stock Price, Interest Rate, Price Index and Housing Price using VAR Model, Journal of Distribution Science, 11(10), 63-72. https://doi.org/10.15722/jds.11.10.201310.63
  22. J. H. Cho. (2018). The Analysis of Exchange Rate Effects on Trade Balance of Korea with Trade Partners in Euro Area, Korean Journal of EU Studies, 23(2), 77-99. https://doi.org/10.38158/KJEUS.23.2.4
  23. J. M. Kim. (1992). The effect of exchange rate, interest rate and wage fluctuation on exports to Korea, International economic relations Economic policy, 92(27), 131-132.
  24. T. Yan & U. Uprasen. (2018). The Roles of the Exchange Rate and Labor Skill Composition on Vietnam's Trade Balance Vis-a-Vis Main Trading Partners, Journal of International Area Studies, 22(3), 85-119.